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Forward Air Corp (FWRD) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Forward Air Corp  (NASDAQ: FWRD)
Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call
Feb. 08, 2019, 9:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Thank you for joining Forward Air Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Release Conference Call. Before we begin, I'd like to point out that both the press release and webcast presentation for this call are accessible on the Investor Relations section of Forward Air's website at www.forwardaircorp.com.

With us this morning are CEO, Tom Schmitt; and CFO, Mike Morris. By now, you should have received the press release announcing our fourth quarter 2018 results, which was furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K and on the wire yesterday after the market close.

Please be aware that during this conference call, we will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements, among others, regarding the Company's outlook for the first quarter and fiscal year of 2019 and those forward-looking statements identified in the presentation.

These statements are based on current information and our current expectations. As such, they are subject to risks and other factors that may cause actual operations and results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements.

For additional information concerning these risks and factors, please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the press release and webcast presentation relating to this earnings call. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

And now I'll turn the call over to Tom Schmitt, CEO of Forward Air.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Stacey. and good morning to all of you on the call. Before Mike here highlights our record results, let me give you a snapshot after my first five months here with Team Forward Air.

Before starting here in September, I was told I would find great people, rock solid operations and lots of untapped upside. Now it's five months later and I know what I was told was actually correct. I did have no oh, surprise moments yet. And so we went to work when I got here in September and set out three priorities together.

The first one is obvious to finish 2018 strong and together as a team we did on nearly every dimension that matters, financials and most importantly actually safety. Our overall accident rate was down 20% last year with a big drop in severity. More work to do but a significant step in truly living a safety culture.

The second priority we set out was achieving a solid profitable growth year in 2019 and we are one-month in, obviously, and we are executing. Yes, we do have some headwinds of slowing growth and at the same time, we are pulling all the levers to make sure we actually make up and even compensate or overcompensate for any headwinds that we face. Good example, or perfect example is actually revenue management, which we have started to go into in a very, very precise significant rigorous way. People like great value as a company through our exceptional service. And I couldn't be more proud of that with significant investments though in both human and capital. So what we actually need to make sure is, as we create that exceptional value that we capture our fair share of it. And we did go through, we reassessed our rates, we reassessed surcharges, assessorial charges with that mindset. And we are making some necessary adjustments to be more simple, more compelling and in some cases frankly more market competitive.

For instance, in oversized charges and also in predictable annual rate reviews this year resulting in a 4.9% GRI in May. We also are making an adjustment in the oversized charge with that same effective date in May.

Our third priority that we set out to do is shaping a multi-year beyond 2019 picture where we take our capabilities in time critical and high value shipments and stretch them to all we should be. Whenever there is a bigger than partial shipment that absolutely has to get there on time and damage free, think Forward Air, think Forward for flight, intermodal and increasingly also for final mile. We got you covered.

We give you peace of mind, you do what you do and we take care of you when it matters most. In that context of giving that peace of mind with that exceptional service, value creation, value capture, two of our business units LTL, intermodal have hit their stride on their journey beyond 2019.

In LTL, we are stretching more and more into B2B door-to-door and for 3PLs we're doing that for domestic and international Forwarders. We also are stretching more and more into B2C final mile. We currently have actually over 100 trucks on the road each day providing over the threshold installations of heavy bulk appliances and we're actively expanding in that space. We're far from done.

In intermodal, we got a great acquisition, integration and execution machine going, and we'll keep doing this, potentially bigger, faster at the maximum scale for the returns that we have come to expect. Frankly, our other two segments, Truckload and Pool, they do fit our purpose perfectly. We give you peace of mind when it matters most to you. And we're stretching those two businesses. In Truckload, both on the fleet and the brokerage side and in pool with automation that drives margins in retail, and we also are taking a sharper operating model into other verticals where that value creation and capture is very, very compelling.

So having said all of that, nailing 2018, a solid profitable growth by 2019 and now a multi-year picture in the making beyond 2019, how high is up for that beyond 2019 picture. We simply will be all we can be and should be as a business. And that's true for our business units. I just briefly sketched that out, but also for our first class supporting and enabling functions.

We are going to adopt more and more evolving technologies as soon as they make a difference for us. That's true in the office when it comes to taking very, very specific rigorous actions on a lane specific basis, on a customer specific basis. That's true in our terminals where we actually enhance stock automation on an ongoing basis. It's also true on the road where we use a lot of real-time monitoring for enhanced productivity but also for enhanced safety, which gets you back to safety, the thing that matters most. We are going to be world-class in safety by any metric that matters.

Talking about world class, we also are going to continue making this a great place to work. I know logistics may not be the sexiest industry on earth but there are logistics companies that are absolutely first class and are making these professional homes of a first class level.

I notice from my own past with FedEx where I spent many, many years, logistics companies can be absolutely top notch places to work Forward Air certainly is one of them. Talking about top notch, Bruce Campbell and his amazing Forward Air team have created a wonderful base, full of possibilities and we will turn those possibilities into a remarkable reality together, we are far from done.

Bruce Campbell also brings one other and final note to mind. Yesterday, we filed an 8-K announcing changes to our Board of Directors and after a long successful career, Bruce Campbell is retiring this May. I'm very fortunate, Bruce actually will remain a resource to me and our leadership team for the next two years. And following Bruce's retirement, it is also a testament to the solid game planning here and solid execution.

It's expected that I will replace him as Chairman and that Craig Carlock will replace Bob Campbell as our Lead Independent Director. As lead for the past five years, Bob has done a great job supporting our growth and he will actually remain on the Board and at the same time Craig's background is very much aligned with our future objectives and we are looking forward to working closely with Craig and the entire Board to leverage their diverse experiences and insights. Here at Forward Air, we will never confuse efforts with results and our results give me a lot of confidence, in fact tons of confidence.

So with that, over to you Mike.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Tom. 2018 was a record year for Forward Air across every key financial metric. And I personally want to thank the operations and corporate teams for an outstanding job done.

We generated a lot of cash flow last year, which we deployed toward growth and shareholder returns. Our growth investments included continued CapEx spending on equipment and technology as well as acquiring two intermodal companies.

Our shareholder initiatives included a 20% increase to our dividend. And our repurchase of $66 million worth of stock, which lowered our year-over-year fourth quarter share count by 2.7%. Our leverage increased slightly in 2018 and remains at roughly a quarter turn of EBITDA. Overtime, we will look to optimize our capital structure by carrying a more permanent level of debt, which we do not expect will exceed one turn of EBITDA.

As we develop the growth strategies and platforms that Tom described in his remarks, we are also planning an Investor Day to communicate the future of Forward Air. More details to come but we're currently targeting June 25th in New York City.

Finally, we've launched a new Investor Relations website, which can be accessed at forwardaircorp.com, we consider as the go-to-place for our investor information. So please check it out.

With that Stacey, let's open the line for Q&A

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) And we'll go to Jack Atkins with Stevens. Please go ahead.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Hey, good morning, Tom and Mike. Tom, congratulations on your promotion to Chairman later on this year.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Hey Jack, if you could hold on one sec. Stacey, we're having some disruption on the line.

Operator

Jack's line is open.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Hey guys, can you hear me?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. If you could speak slowly, there's some interference on our line.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Sorry about that guys. Just want to say good morning, and congratulations to Tom.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jack.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jack.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

So let's kind of dive in here first on the Expedited LTL segment for a moment. Could you maybe just talk about how the fourth quarter progressed in LTL relative to your expectations, and sort of what type of peak season did you guys see relative to your expectations?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jack, I do apologize, we're really hearing a lot of crackle on the line. But I think you were talking about fourth quarter LTL relative to our expectations. So maybe I'll start there and Tom you can comment as you want to. So from a tonnage standpoint, it fell short of our expectations. But we did very well from a yield standpoint, Jack. We get this question, so let me put out our tonnage per day throughout the quarter. It was down 4.2% for the quarter. For October, it was down 3.8%. November. it was up 0.5%. And December was down 10.6%.

We are, from a tonnage standpoint, lapping the upturn. We had a pretty stiff comparable in 4Q '17. And we do expect a stiff comparable to remain for the first half of 2018.

The calendar was also a little tough in December with the loss of a Friday and Christmas moving to a Tuesday. Our airport-to-airport tonnage was down but I think a good story in here was that our door-to-door daily tonnage was up and the driver there was 3PL, that tonnage grew over a 100% and our shipments in 3PL grew 68%.

So we're excited about the progress that we've made in door-to-door but airport-to-airport is still the bigger number and way down our tonnage. Yield did very well. You see the numbers in our press release with fuel and without fuel, where we got a tailwind to our June 2018 GRI and also growth in door-to-door helps yield because we're getting paid more, because we're doing more things, we're picking it up and delivering it.

When you strip all this out and you look at revenue per ton, per mile and you wash-out the length of haul and weight per shipment effects, it was up 6%. It was very strong. So despite the tonnage decline, we felt we did pretty well in the fourth quarter.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Okay. That's great. Mike, can you hear me a bit better now?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

It is a little bit better now.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Yes. Okay, great. Sorry about that. Must have been an issue with my headset. So, that's helpful color, Mike. Thank you and let me kind of pivot a bit and sort of ask you know, Tom you talked a good bit about reassessing rates and accessorial charges in your prepared comments. When you think about 2019 sort of where we are -- I know it's early in the year but what portion of sort of your -- what portion of the work that you plan to do on the rate side do you think has already been implemented? And how would you expect rates and yields within the core Expedited LTL business and perhaps other segments as well to trend as you move through 2019?

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, completely fair question. I mean, let me perhaps put the whole revenue management piece in context and it all goes back, Jack, a little bit to your question about tonnage trends. The one thing that we are doing extremely consciously is managing the quality of the business that we're getting and that's frankly good for our customers is also good for us. We want to make sure that we move to things that actually really matter a lot to them. Good for them and then frankly from a value creation, value capture perspective also good for us. So that's why tonnage is important, revenue is important but I always like saying if it's just revenue on its own that's income salaries(ph). So we are very, very precise what type of business we're targeting. And you might actually see some of the top-line and even the tonnage being impacted but there's a lot of precision and rigor that we are actually inserting into that process.

So having said that to your specific question about how much of that is done versus not done. So what we are going to be doing and I think I mentioned this on my last call, we want to make sure we are extremely predictable and planable for our customers and frankly also for our own business. So there will be a rhythm to rate adjustments. So on the basis of that is, obviously, a general rate review that's not only true for LTL, that's most relevant there, but it's true for all of our business lines with every year depending on your denomination you may celebrate different events but for many people there is on December 25th every year Christmas Day, there will be every year a rate review and it's going to be date similar. And so that people can actually budget and plan for that. This is where the May review for LTL this year comes in, and there will be a similar rate review next year.

The second thing is on the surcharges and on the assessorial charges. So we went through some of them, and you will start seeing the impact, I mentioned, oversized where we were frankly not competitive in what we charge, but extremely competitive in the service that we actually provide. That adjustment will come together with the GRI in May. And we also are making very certain that our customers get something that is expected by them and is comparable to our lead competitors, especially also in fuel.

So fuel goes up, fuel goes down. That's obviously a market symptom, not a Forward Air specific symptom. But we need to make sure that we are in the range of where our leading competition is, and we are making sure with that by adjusting our rate table actually next month in March.

So, Jack, from a very specific perspective, the first kind of set of adjustments you would see over the next three months, between March and May, and then there will probably be a second wave, a little bit later where we actually go through some of the other assessorial charges if we provide additional services where we frankly so far haven't reflected that fully. There may be something coming.

But on the basis of a rate adjustment or rate increase every year, and fuel surcharge being competitive and the oversized charge, I think a lot of what you will be seeing you'll be seeing between March next month and between May. So nothing much yet in practice, a lot happening in March and May. And then we are going to go through other surcharges, accessorial in a second wave and then maybe a second part of that coming later.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Okay, great. Tom, thank you for that color. Let me ask a couple more questions and I'll hand it over. But within the LTL segment, again just sticking with that business for a moment could you give us an update on where outside miles trended in the fourth quarter?

And Mike should we think about -- I'm just so curious how we should be thinking about purchase transportation within Expedited LTL in 2019? Do you feel like you've been able to turn a corner there and do you expect to get some traction within the PT line in 2019?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Jack, I'll take that one. So first off, broker power was 25.9% of miles in the fourth quarter of '18 compared to 21.8% of miles in the fourth quarter of '17. So PT is still a headwind. The truckload market loosened in the fourth quarter but is still relatively tight. And notably our teams and teams are very important in our fleet mix. We need to have the optimal level of teams to run the long-haul lanes in our network with the greatest efficiency.

So we did turn the corner a little bit but broker power was still greater quarter-on-quarter. Where we made a lot of progress was the LTL team's ability to improve density in the network. And also our new pickup and delivery structure where we used owner operators lowered our HUD costs, while HUD was growing in our network. So our billable pounds per mile was up about 2.5% and we got a lot of leverage on the new PUD network that helped lower costs. That may not be the areas where you expected us to be turning the corner maybe somewhere. But that is I think part of turning the corner. We do anticipate PT headwinds remaining. You know knock on wood, they'll abate a little bit, but it is still a challenge to get teams and we really need teams to provide the expedited service levels that we promised our customers.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Okay. Okay, great. Last question from me and I'll hand it over. Just on cash flow, excellent free cash flow here in 2018. Mike, could you give us some insight into how you're thinking about cash flow 2019? Should we be expecting an improvement in terms of free cash flow on a year-over-year basis? I know you don't want to give specific guidance, just trying to think about the direction of cash flow year-over-year in 2019 versus 2018.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

'18 was a stellar year and working capital played a big role in the levels we achieved. I'm going to remain conservative and assume that as our revenue grows, our working capital may not perform as well. But I think working capital will kind of be the swing factor between how '19 stacks up to '18. The tax rates have already worked their way through. We don't see any big fundamental shifts in the model. So I think working capital and the assumptions you put in your model, Jack, will kind of be the driver of year-on-year.

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Okay. Okay, great. Thank you again and congratulations on a great fourth quarter.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jack.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jack.

Operator

We'll go to Ben Hartford with Baird. Please go ahead.

Ben Hartford -- Baird -- Analyst

Hi. Good morning, guys. Maybe just to come back to a couple of the recent comments, you made the remarks in the opening salvo about how high is up? When you think about Expedited LTL over the next several years, it sounds like based on fourth quarter and some of the comments that you had just made that there might be a little bit more of a lean toward yield as opposed to volume. So is there any way that you could give us an idea as to what you think kind of an annual revenue growth profile is for Expedited LTL over the next three to five years, and maybe what the mix is between yield and volume in that number? Thanks.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Ben, first of all, I'm going to give you a little bit of a flavor that's semiquantitative, and then Mike if you want to add to that, that will be terrific. The one thing I do want to say upfront, this is an and, not an or. So we definitely are getting extremely precise to make sure that we actually move the business that really is the critical business for our customers, because that's frankly where the value creation for them comes in and the opportunity for also us getting our fair share. That's the kind of making sure, we are actually actively matters most part. So that really is getting to your point, Ben, about focusing on the quality of the revenue and on yield.

Having said that, for us we believe there's tons of upside also in actually the market share that we should be going after. Specifically-and it goes back also to the previous question that Jack had about kind of PT and what we see there. We've had a, I think, a very tremendous good trend over the last few months in terms of getting better with our surgical driver attraction and retention efforts. And frankly, we are going above and beyond with our team to make sure we do make this the most appealing professional home for drivers, the success actually starts coming.

We also are getting up another notch with driver contests going forward beyond the traditional tools that we've been taking. So I do expect us to be able to dial that valve about quality of revenue yield that you've been talking about. And at the same time make sure we get a bigger amount of quality drivers going forward, so we can actually dial another valve, which is the quantity of revenue because frankly with Expedited LTL and going beyond airport-to-airport, we talked earlier about the increase in door-to-door.

We have a lot of upside in terms of possibility and opportunity with our customer segments, the 3PL the domestic international Forwarders. If we served three or five airports for one of them today, there's the next five or 10 airports we can be serving for them. So I do believe and I'm not sure it's 50/50 in terms of the impact. This is a modeling exercise that we're doing and you, obviously, also are doing. But this is clearly a somewhat equally balanced end between the quality of the revenue yield and the actual volume that we're dialing up at the same time because we can increasingly, based on our increasing ability to attract and retain drivers at levels more recently that we have not seen in the year before.

Ben Hartford -- Baird -- Analyst

Okay. That's great. That's helpful. Thanks. Mike, if I could come back to your comments on the fourth quarter, I guess specifically was there a reason that you can attribute to the volume shortfall relative to expectations? You guys had expected flat volume. It was obviously down. I know we had a comp issue but just normalizing for that, any specific driver of the weakness? And maybe in that vein, obviously, import volumes have been relatively healthy here to start the year. We've heard anecdotes of tight warehouse space across the West Coast. Can you talk about kind of the impact positive, negative, neutral to your business as you see it in the first quarter until the balance of the year given some of those dynamics?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I don't have any specific details for you, Ben, in terms of this did that and this did this. We did see reductions in our airport-to-airport tonnage. But as I mentioned, we made a lot of that back on door-to-door daily tonnage. In terms of the import volumes, I mean that probably takes a few weeks to work its way through to our Intermodal business. You know once that congestion works itself out maybe a two to three week lag before it starts showing up at the Midwest railheads.

We are you know in the first quarter a little concerned about the flow through effects of what was probably a partial pull forward into the fourth quarter followed by an early Chinese New Year, which I think started this week. And as those Asian factories close give it two to three weeks and you see volume slow on the intermodal side. So probably a little more headwind on the intermodal side for the last part of your comment.

Ben Hartford -- Baird -- Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks again. One last one in respect to the free cash flow point of view. Maybe could you provide an update us to where you sit from an acquisition front and anything imminent? If not, what would be the most likely use of the excess free cash that's likely to build here in 2019? Thanks.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Not, I don't have any transactions to announce for you today. Our capital stack stays as it has been. Free cash flow, obviously, covers CapEx. We're going to continue to do a healthy amount of CapEx, a lot more in technology, now that we've gotten our trailer fleet age kind of down to an optimal level. We've been swapping out some old vintages, but we're going to divert some of those saved CapEx cash flows into some pretty heavy technology spending to support the types of initiatives that Tom talked about earlier. We'll cover our dividend. And then we'll see where we are in M&A, there's clearly an M&A game plan in the intermodal space. But we're also looking at M&A in other spaces, and final mile. We're looking at M&A in different pockets of the portfolio.

And then whatever's left, we look to buyback. As we've said publicly before, we like to run with about $20 million of cash on the balance sheet to provide necessary liquidity. But we'll see where multiples go in '19 based upon the macros. We got a lot of dry powder in terms of our cash flow, but we also have a lot of dry powder in terms of our under levered position, and who knows if the cycle rolls over and assets become a little cheaper and multiples compress, that's a great time to grow the Company.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

And let me just reinforce, Ben, the point Mike that you made. There's a lot of mindshare on our end going into inorganic growth, where it makes sense and over the last few years, you've seen this intermodal and Mike you mentioned last mile. So there's lot of mindshare. We do believe, obviously, that we always will have the discipline to use our cash flow in the most rational way. But we also believe frankly that with the untapped upside I talked about earlier, some of those best options may not only be share repurchases. So I think to be continued and more to come.

Ben Hartford -- Baird -- Analyst

Yes, that's great. Thanks for the time.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ben.

Operator

We'll go to Seldon Clarke with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks for the question. In terms of your Q1 guidance, you're guiding to, let's call, high-single digit revenue growth and low-single digit growth in net income. Could you just help us walk through the puts and takes implied by that guidance? And maybe why some of the operating leverage momentum that you saw in the fourth quarter wouldn't continue into Q1?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I'll take that, Seldon. So we are a little concerned about a continuation of elevated PT costs. As I mentioned earlier, we made a lot of progress on solos but we do need to make some progress on teams. Obviously, tonnage levels are going to drop quarter-on-quarter, which could impact our density. I don't know what weather is going to do but it is a bit concerning, nice down here in Atlanta but in other parts of the world it's pretty difficult. And finally Seldon, we do see an increase in corporate costs. We have some self-insurance headwinds. We have some CEO transition costs and we are making some corporate investments to enable and support the growth that Tom talked about and revenue management, I mentioned IT, safety, recruiting. We are going to do a little bit of spending on the corporate side so that we can enable and support the growth. That's my bridge, if you will, in response to your question.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And I guess just in terms of intermodal, could you give us a sense of what the Southwest acquisition contributed to intermodal results in the quarter and maybe like what the right run rate is to think about that business going forward?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Well, I wish I knew the right run rate with this outstanding team we have, we set high expectations and they just continue to obliterate them. From a revenue perspective, Southwest was about $3.5 million last year.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

And for you guys?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I'm just giving you some clarity. So the intermodal revenue quarter-on-quarter was up about $8 million. And about $3.5 million of that was Southwest. Southwest was a very important acquisition for us. We're thrilled to have them be part of the organization, put us in that Texas market. We're very bullish on that market. We think it's a big growth opportunity for us, a big expansion of our footprint. So whatever positive answer I give you, I'm pretty sure they're going to do even better.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And is there any -- I guess like on that side, you're a little bit less impacted by the PT. So I am just kind of curious as to should we see a step down in EBIT from Q4 to Q1 in intermodal?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

That depends. Let me give you a little more color. It really depends on how the continued acquisition integrations go. Southwest is working its way through. We made a lot of progress on Atlantic. And we may have more progress coming there.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

The challenge, I think, Seldon, overall, it's a high quality problem that we see is a -- when you do even with -- I'm not even talking about potentially larger acquisitions that fit the same high value, high return criteria that the tuck-in acquisitions have been playing, so there maybe larger ones around the corner. We definitely are putting mindshare into those. But even if it's only in quotation marks, highly creative tuck-in acquisitions like Southwest, which is a great acquisition, as Mike mentioned. There probably will be -- over the last five years, we had eight of those. So there will be more of those even in 2019, more likely than not.

So during the quarter-over-quarter always will have that lag effect of partial years or partial quarters from the next acquisition starting to kick-in and then you lap it, obviously, so you know the modeling as well better than I do. So you'll have that going on. You'll have that going on most likely in 2019 also. And then I would call it a high quality problem of just making the comparability a bit more difficult. And then on top of that, I hope to have even higher quality problem at some point soon to have that same issue with a larger acquisition.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yes, and, Seldon, I pausing for a sec looking for a number on a crib sheet. Let me reference back to the earlier comments I made about concerns around port and rails per congestion and then the flow-through effects of Chinese New Year. Those are some headwinds. I know that the recruiting discussion tends to focus on LTL, but intermodal is also seeing its owner operator fleet down, needs to restore that, that puts some PT pressures on.

So without giving you any specific guidance, Seldon, you know we got some good guys and some bad guys that we're going to have to see how they shake out through the course of the quarter.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And then just last one from me on the LTL segment, I apologize if I missed this earlier, but did you give January tonnage?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I did not but it's a good question. Quarter-to-date LTL, January tonnage is up 1.6%.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. And could you give us -- just given the initiatives, could you give us a sense of how like revenue is trending on a per day basis just given the focus on yield. I feel like it's -- tonnage is kind of not as useful given the growth you've seen in yield over the last couple of quarters?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. There's a lot going on in the revenue line. It's obviously impacted by fuel. But it is in line with our expectations.

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. I appreciate the time.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Seldon.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

We'll go to Kevin Sterling with Seaport Global. Please go ahead.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, Tom and Mike.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Kevin.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Congratulations on a very nice quarter.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

So let me start with your intermodal growth, obviously, that's quite impressive. So where are you seeing most of that growth. Is it mainly East Coast and you know some of these intermodal rail spurs you see popping up in the East Coast to help relieve congestion. Can you kind of talk about some of the dynamics that we're seeing that really help drive that growth?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I mean there is organic growth in terms of price and volume, we've talked a little bit about to the extent there was some pull-forward effect in the fourth quarter. It's inorganic growth through the two acquisitions that we did last year. But when those acquisitions come in, there tend to be, you know, cross-selling type synergies. I'm not a big fan of that word, but it's very true here where customers of the legacy platform, you know, can't get into that Texas market with us or get into that Southeast market with us the way that they could once we make that acquisition. So Atlantic -- I was a huge part of Atlantic. I think you'll see more of that in Texas and vice versa, the companies that we've acquired didn't have that footprint in our Midwest locations and so you see a lot of pickup coming from that. Another aspect of the inorganic growth is the top grading process that the CST team does when they come into an acquisition. They do a lot around rates, around charging for assessorials. And so as you kind of blend all this together, when you got a good macro tailwind, it's driving a lot of growth in intermodal.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Got you. That makes sense. Thank you, Mike. And you talked about in the Midwest, do you see opportunities for maybe expanding beyond the Midwest to the West Coast in intermodal?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We're not really looking at the West Coast. We like our footprint as it is. We think there's a lot of opportunities to continue to build presence within our existing footprint. But we have recently with Southwest. We've grown into the South, if you will. With Texas, maybe that's the Southwest. But also looking further east, and maybe a little bit north in the Northeast, but we'll see how all that shakes out.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

There's still open spots on the map, quite a few of them. And frankly to say, I mean, to be very specific about this, even in the markets where we are very present, I mean, I've just had an exchange this morning with Matt Jewell, our President of the Intermodal business. And he and the Intermodal team, Ron Gallups(ph) and his team, they just spend some time and there's even in the markets where we have a very, very significant presence. There's still quite a bit of upside there. And then to Mike's point, if you just take the map of the U.S., Atlantic certainly has certainly white spots or significant upside. So I'm very, very bullish on the opportunities to grow in spaces that are hitting our sweet spot in a tremendous way.

And I think I've mentioned it even last time, we have a -- this is a machine that that team, the CST, Intermodal team, basically almost drove to perfection over the last five years of knowing exactly where we can provide significant value and then capture our fair share. And we have a screen, we have targets and there's quite a bit on that list that is more than worthwhile to pursue and so, yeah, geographically certainly Midwest, South, as Mike mentioned, but also the Atlantic Seaport is still -- has a lot of open spots where we can actually make a lot of a dent.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Great, thanks for that, Tom, and tell Matt to keep up the good work.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

You just did.

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Keep working them hard.

Operator

And we'll going to Bruce Chan with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Bruce Chan -- Stifel -- Analyst

Yes. Good morning, gentlemen, and congrats on a really nice quarter here. Maybe just a quick one on the CapEx side, Mike, you talked about pivoting toward a little bit more IT spending and tax spending. Can you give us a little bit more flavor on where that's coming in? Maybe just by division or by platform, I know -- you guys have had some nice success with TCG. So just a little bit more color on where you're going to be spending that CapEx?

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Well, to do everything that Tom's asking us to do, my answer is everywhere. I think you're going to see a lot of organic internally developed capabilities and I think you'll see us like the TCG example bring in outside technology where it makes the most sense to let us stand up these operational goals and the support functional goals. I think it's going to be pretty widespread through the portfolio and not really concentrated in any particular place, Bruce.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

And then Bruce, I'm a big fan of simplicity. This may be actually overly simple but the way I described it before and reinforcing Mike your comment about the balance or the ubiquity of that, I mean, obviously if you think about technology and how it impacts our business, there's quite a bit of that is in the decision making. You mentioned just yourself, those TCG, right? Being extremely knowledgeable about customers but also industry verticals, lanes of traffic and kind of where goodness is more than in other places. That's, obviously, something that we're standing up right now. We're getting every single week more precise about what's good business for our customers and for us. That's basically in the kind of decision support kind of office environment.

Then you go into the physical spaces and then in the wider sense, you have buildings, terminals in each one of our businesses and you have on the road, right. And in both of those spaces, I mentioned examples before especially in our larger facilities when it comes to dock automation. Yes, some of it is frankly just good business where you look at the flows inside the terminals. How can I shorten the ways and how can I simplify the flows in and out. But some of it actually is, obviously, automation and so that's -- we're standing some of that up.

And then on the road, there's a lot that we're doing with real-time monitoring of kind of what's good practices for our drivers. It helps us actually frame(ph) with feedback and coaching and so there's a lot that we're doing in that space making sure that we actually have a lot of on the road insights into kind of how we actually operate that business. So I think back to your point, Mike, in all three of those almost in a very balanced way, also across all of our business lines, you'd say there would be technology investments in the office, in the building operationally on the road.

Bruce Chan -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks. That flavor is certainly helpful. And then maybe just one more on TLS, since it hasn't gotten a whole lot of love here today. What are you all thinking in terms of when we start to see some of the top line bleeding's done, and where do we stand as far as some of the reefer opportunities that I think you'd identified for that division a little while ago.

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I'll start, Bruce, and Tom can chime in. I think next quarter should be the first quarter in a year, where revenue grows at TLS. You'll recall, I think it was actually your question, the four act play example I gave, the actions that truckload has taken to respond to the upturn and the capacity tightening that happened in the fourth quarter of 2017. If you recall, we played the long game with our customers and honored our commitments, and then took the opportunity to see great relief and a greater ability to broker. So I think you'll see us turn the corner in terms of revenue growth in the first quarter of this year, having kind of fully lapped that process. Reefer is a growth opportunity for truckload, and I think as we have the strategic discussions that Tom described in his beyond 2019 comments, we'll have a better perspective about where that fits in longer term.

Bruce Chan -- Stifel -- Analyst

Perfect. Thank you

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Bruce.

Operator

And that does conclude Forward Air's Fourth Quarter 2018 earnings conference call. Please remember the webcast will be available on the Investor Relations section of Forward Air's website at www.forwardaircorp.com shortly after this call.

You may now disconnect.

Duration: 50 minutes

Call participants:

Thomas Schmitt -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Mike Morris -- Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jack Atkins -- Stevens -- Analyst

Ben Hartford -- Baird -- Analyst

Seldon Clarke -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Kevin Sterling -- Seaport Global Securities -- Analyst

Bruce Chan -- Stifel -- Analyst

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