French Minister Says Russian Gas Cutoff Most Likely Scenario

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French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said Europe must prepare for Russian gas deliveries to be shut off entirely in retaliation for the region’s sanctions on the Kremlin and support for Ukraine.

“Let’s prepare ourselves for a total cut-off of Russian gas,” Le Maire said at an economic conference in Aix-en-Provence, southern France, on Sunday. “That’s the most likely scenario today.”

Read more: Putin Is Set to Halt Gas and Germany Fears It’s Not Coming Back

France must be “very careful” in its energy consumption, build up gas stockpiles, reduce red tape slowing the development of renewable energies, and accelerate its program to build new nuclear reactors, the finance minister said. The country must also make plans to curtail energy usage company by company, and by region, to ensure that businesses such as glass makers are spared from irreversible damage, he added.

The government is “trying to do everything that is required to avoid” energy shortages, Le Maire said. “Due to the energy crisis, due to the war in Ukraine, we could have to face a difficult time, which means that we need to be prepared.”

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European Union nations will discuss winter contingency plans at an emergency meeting on July 26 in a bid to ensure there are sufficient gas reserves to get through peak demand for heating and power. The industry has warned that winter may be even tougher if Moscow halts flows, given limited options to import gas from elsewhere.

France’s energy challenge is exacerbated by repairs to some of Electricite de France SA’s nuclear reactors, which is set to plunge output to the lowest level in more than three decades. On Saturday, EDF’s outgoing boss Jean-Bernard Levy warned this winter could bring energy rationing to Europe.

The country is looking to extend an energy tariff shield beyond the end of 2022 to cushion its poorest households from surging wholesale prices, Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne said Saturday.

Le Maire said the government’s planned nationalization of EDF, which is already 84%-state owned, will streamline decision-making and reinforce France’s energy independence. The minister said he will provide details on the nationalization in the coming weeks, while the process itself “will take months.”

The minister said he’s already had long discussions with European Union competition chief Margrethe Vestager on the matter, and said he’ll resume these talks.

“The situation of EDF’s finances is difficult, let’s not hide it, but it belongs to our national industrial heritage,” Le Maire said later Sunday in an interview on French TV, reiterating that the French state would always stand by EDF. “There is no worry about the unity of the company, to which I am profoundly attached. No break up is planned,” he said.

Read more: EDF’s Next Boss Will Face an Ordeal Even After Nationalization

(Updates with Le Maire comments on potential energy shortages, EDF nationalization from third paragraph. Update with comments on French TV in last paragraph.)

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