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Future Outlook Of The Service Industry And Collection House Limited (ASX:CLH)

Mercedes Harden

Collection House Limited (ASX:CLH), a AU$207.2m small-cap, is a commercial services company operating in an industry, which is faced with evolving conditions and potential further consolidation to gain market share. Commercial services analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a strong double-digit growth of 20.8% in the upcoming year , and an enormous growth of 37.4% over the next couple of years. However this rate still came in below the growth rate of the Australian stock market as a whole. Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, and also determine whether Collection House is a laggard or leader relative to its service sector peers.

View our latest analysis for Collection House

What’s the catalyst for Collection House’s sector growth?

ASX:CLH Past Future Earnings August 29th 18

A main driver of the industry has been the growing relevance of e-commerce, enabling companies to reduce cost to serve while growing market presence. Over the past year, the industry saw growth in the forties, beating the Australian market growth of 10.3%. Collection House leads the pack with its impressive earnings growth of 50.3% over the past year. However, analysts are not expecting this industry-beating trend to continue, with future growth expected to be 1.6% compared to the wider commercial services sector growth hovering in the twenties next year. As a future industry laggard in growth, Collection House may be a cheaper stock relative to its peers.

Is Collection House and the sector relatively cheap?

ASX:CLH PE PEG Gauge August 29th 18

The commercial services industry is trading at a PE ratio of 17.32x, relatively similar to the rest of the Australian stock market PE of 17.19x. This means the industry, on average, is fairly valued compared to the wider market – minimal expected gains and losses from mispricing here. Furthermore, the industry returned a similar 12.6% on equities compared to the market’s 11.8%. On the stock-level, Collection House is trading at a lower PE ratio of 7.93x, making it cheaper than the average commercial services stock. In terms of returns, Collection House generated 12.6% in the past year, in-line with its industry average.

Next Steps:

Collection House is a commercial services industry laggard in terms of its future growth outlook. This is possibly reflected in the PE ratio, with the stock trading below its peers. If the stock has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be the time to dig deeper. Although the market is expecting lower growth for the company relative to its peers, Collection House is also trading at a discount, meaning that there could be some value from a potential mispricing. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Collection House’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Historical Track Record: What has CLH’s performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Collection House? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.