KBL Merger Corp IV (NASDAQ:KBLM), a USD$40.86M small-cap, operates in the capital markets industry, which has recently been facing serious existential threats resulting from potential disintermediation and disruption from new technology. Financial services analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a relatively muted growth of 7.95% in the upcoming year , and an overall negative growth rate in the next couple of years. Unsuprisingly, this is below the growth rate of the US stock market as a whole. Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, and also determine whether KBL Merger IV is a laggard or leader relative to its financial sector peers. Check out our latest analysis for KBL Merger IV
What’s the catalyst for KBL Merger IV’s sector growth?
The threat of disintermediation in the capital markets industry is both real and imminent, taking profits away from traditional incumbent financial institutions. In the previous year, the industry saw growth in the teens, beating the US market growth of 10.73%. Given the lack of analyst consensus in KBL Merger IV’s outlook, we could potentially assume the stock’s growth rate broadly follows its capital markets industry peers. This means it is an attractive growth stock relative to the wider US stock market.
Is KBL Merger IV and the sector relatively cheap?
The capital markets sector’s PE is currently hovering around 17x, in-line with the US stock market PE of 20x. This illustrates a fairly valued sector relative to the rest of the market, indicating low mispricing opportunities. However, the industry returned a higher 12.81% compared to the market’s 10.46%, potentially illustrative of past tailwinds. Since KBL Merger IV’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge KBL Merger IV’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Capital markets stocks are currently expected to grow slower than the average stock on the index. This means if you’re overweight in this sector, your portfolio will be tilted towards lower-growth. If growth was one of your main investment catalyst in the sector, now would be the time to revisit your holdings in KBL Merger IV. Keep in mind the sector is trading relatively in-line with the rest of the market, which may mean you’ll be selling out at a reasonable price.
Are you a potential investor? The financial sector’s below-market growth and average valuation hardly makes it an exciting investment case. If you’re looking for a high-growth stock with potential mispricing, it seems like capital markets companies like KBL Merger IV isn’t the right place to look. However, if you’re interested in the stock for other reasons, I suggest you research more into the company’s cash flow as well as its financial health in order to gain a holistic view of the stock.
For a deeper dive into KBL Merger IV’s stock, take a look at the company’s latest free analysis report to find out more on its financial health and other fundamentals. Interested in other financial stocks instead? Use our free playform to see my list of over 600 other financial companies trading on the market.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.