U.S. markets closed
  • S&P 500

    4,538.43
    -38.67 (-0.84%)
     
  • Dow 30

    34,580.08
    -59.71 (-0.17%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    15,085.47
    -295.85 (-1.92%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    2,159.31
    -47.02 (-2.13%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    66.22
    -0.28 (-0.42%)
     
  • Gold

    1,782.10
    +21.40 (+1.22%)
     
  • Silver

    22.45
    +0.17 (+0.76%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1317
    +0.0012 (+0.10%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.3430
    -0.1050 (-7.25%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3235
    -0.0067 (-0.50%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    112.8000
    -0.4090 (-0.36%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    48,626.86
    +311.09 (+0.64%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,367.14
    -74.62 (-5.18%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,122.32
    -6.89 (-0.10%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    28,029.57
    +276.20 (+1.00%)
     

Gildan Activewear Inc. (TSE:GIL) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·4 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Most readers would already know that Gildan Activewear's (TSE:GIL) stock increased by 8.0% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Gildan Activewear's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Gildan Activewear

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gildan Activewear is:

20% = US$369m ÷ US$1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2021).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CA$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CA$0.20.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Gildan Activewear's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To begin with, Gildan Activewear seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. For this reason, Gildan Activewear's five year net income decline of 30% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Gildan Activewear's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.4% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is GIL fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Gildan Activewear Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (where it is retaining 72% of its profits), Gildan Activewear has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, Gildan Activewear has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 32%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Gildan Activewear's future ROE will be 21% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Gildan Activewear certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.