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Global Brass and Copper Holdings Inc (BRSS) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Global Brass and Copper Holdings Inc  (NYSE: BRSS)
Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call
March 01, 2019, 10:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q4 2018 Global Brass and Copper Holdings, Incorporated Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Anne-Marie D'Angelo, General Counsel. You may begin.

Anne-Marie W. D'Angelo -- General Counsel and Secretary

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our fourth quarter 2018 earnings call.

My name is Anne-Marie D'Angelo and I am Global Brass and Copper's General Counsel. Joining me on the conference call today are John Wasz, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Christopher Kodosky, our Chief Financial Officer. An archived version of this call will be available later this morning on the Investor Relations section of our corporate website at www.gbcholdings.com.

Before beginning our discussion, we'd like to remind everyone that our prepared remarks and responses to questions may include forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially from those stated or implied by the forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as of any subsequent date. Information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements may be found in the risk factors contained in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and our other filings with the SEC.

This call will discuss non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted sales and adjusted diluted earnings per common share. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in our earnings release for the fiscal quarter and year ended December 31st, 2018.

I now would like to turn the call over to John Wasz.

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Anne Marie. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us on today's call.

Overall, we're pleased with the progress and improvements made at Global Brass and Copper in 2018. Adjusted EBITDA was on par with the prior year despite the prior year benefiting from a $7.4 million of insurance proceeds. In 2018, we managed through some operational challenges at Chase Brass and delivered solid financial performance due to our continued focus and improvements in manufacturing excellence, commercial pricing strategies and supply chain initiatives. A.J. Oster had a notable year and the integration of the Alumet acquisition continues to progress very well and it's delivering better than expected results.

During 2018, we refinanced our term loan debt, which reduced our interest rate by 75 basis points. We increased our quarterly dividend, we initiated a share repurchase program, resulting in the repurchase of 400,000 shares and we generated $96 million in cash.

We remain committed to improving the strategic foundation of our business, generating significant cash flows, strengthening our balance sheet and driving long-term profitable growth by expanding the depth and breadth of our existing businesses and through accretive acquisitions. The improvements we have experienced across our enterprise are a testament to the teamwork and focused improvement efforts of employees across GBC. We appreciate their dedication to GBC and continuously strengthening and improving our company.

As we've said before, we're in an industry and in markets which require agility and relentless focus on reducing costs, improving productivity, optimizing inventory, pricing our products appropriately and creating unique value for our customers. Through our balanced book philosophy and asset management practices, our focus remains on generating sustainable profitable growth rather than chasing volume to fill up production capacity. We will continue to pricing our products to enhance our long-term profitability to achieve an appropriate return on our inventory and production assets and do justified business reinvestment to continue to provide excellent product quality and service to our valued customers.

Turning to Olin Brass. 2018 full year results included increases in both adjusted EBITDA and volumes. Volumes increased predominantly in munitions and coinage. Munitions' increase was the result of a more balanced inventory profile throughout the supply chain as compared to 2017. Olin Brass's adjusted EBITDA increased primarily due to the increased volumes and favorable scrap spreads, better metal margins and improved raw material sourcing. The Olin Brass team continues to focus on product profitability and its supply chain and manufacturing excellence initiatives, while providing their customers with best-in-class quality and service.

Regarding the A.J. Oster business, adjusted EBITDA, volumes and margins in the base business all increased as compared to the prior year. Base volumes were favorable in the automotive and electronics and electrical components markets. The growth in automotive is an encouraging sign as it supports our belief that volumes will grow with the increased electrification of cars.

Alumet volumes were lower than anticipated, but adjusted EBITDA exceeded expectations as the commercial team drove product profitability and the various commercial elements of the asset management philosophy to make sure we were making an appropriate return on our sales.

The A.J. Oster base business's adjusted EBITDA was favorably impacted by positive improvements in product mix, selling price and volumes. I'm pleased with the integration of Alumet and would like to thank the A.J. Oster team for their teamwork and focused efforts toward integrating and improving this business.

Chase Brass had a challenging year. Volumes decreased in the building and housing market due to a drop in the underlying demand, resulting from the slowing US housing formation and increased competition from parts imported into the United States. This, coupled with operational difficulties largely caused by labor availability issues, negatively impacted EBITDA, which was partially offset by better metal margins and raw material sourcing. Throughout the year, the Chase team addressed the labor availability issues while continuing to deliver to their customers exceptional quality, short lead times and best-in-class on-time delivery.

Overall in 2018, we continued to make meaningful progress on numerous areas of strategic focus, which will translate into profitable growth in the future. We remain committed to improving the strategic foundation of our business, generating significant cash flows, driving profitable organic growth and making smart strategic acquisitions.

With that, I will turn the call over to Christopher for a more detailed view of our financials.

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, John, and good morning, everyone.

Unless otherwise noted, my comments and discussion will focus on our Q4 2018 and full year 2018 results as compared to Q4 and full year 2017. I would like to highlight that the full year 2017 results include a $7.4 million recovery of insurance proceeds for our 2016 production outage at Olin Brass, approximately $2.4 million more of expense for unusual costs associated with our HSA transition, increased cost of goods sold due to inventory reductions at Olin Brass and additional costs incurred related to the A.J. Oster ERP implementation and the impact of US tax reform as well as the tax benefit related to share award vestings and option exercises from our adoption of new accounting pronouncements on stock compensation. In addition, 2018 results include a full year results for Alumet, which we acquired in November 2017. All of these events make financial comparisons to the prior year more challenging.

First, I'll comment on our fourth quarter. From a volume perspective, Q4 '18 volumes increased 3 million pounds or 3% as a result of 5 million pounds of incremental volume generated by Alumet. Excluding Alumet, volumes decreased 2% or 2 million pounds, primarily due to softness in building and housing volumes.

Net sales for the quarter decreased 5% to $404 million, primarily as a result of a decrease in pass-through metal prices, partially offset by increased Alumet sales. We reduce net sales by the cost of metal (inaudible) cost of goods sold to arrive at adjusted sales, a non-GAAP revenue measure. Metal costs reflect the cost of replacing metal sold to the customer, whereas adjusted sales is our internal measure of the value-added or conversion revenue generated from our operations. Fourth quarter adjusted sales increased by 7% to $147 million due to an incremental $9 million of adjusted sales generated by Alumet, along with improvement from our metal pricing sourcing and blending initiatives.

Net income attributable to GBC for the quarter was $6.6 million or $0.29 per diluted share versus $5.6 million or $0.25 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2017. The increase is due to a decrease in tax expense as a result of tax reform enacted in December 2017, partially offset by decreased gross profit. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, decreased by 14% to $25 million. The decrease was primarily due to unfavorable conversion costs and increased compensation costs, partially offset by increased volumes.

Now I will discuss performance in each of our three reportable segments for the fourth quarter. Olin Brass's volumes increased 3% to 60 million pounds due to increases in the munitions and automotive markets. Although volumes increased, adjusted EBITDA decreased 6% to $12 million due to changes in product mix. Also negatively affecting adjusted EBITDA were slight increases in production costs due to decreased productivity, partially reflective of the benefit from the inventory build in Q4 2017.

Chase Brass volumes decreased 8% to 47 million pounds due to the softening in the building and housing volumes we saw in Q4 2018. Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $13 million, driven by the volume decrease and unfavorable production costs as a result of operational inefficiencies.

Turning to A.J. Oster. Alumet shipped an incremental 5.5 million pounds and generated an additional $600,000 of adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter. Base business volumes and adjusted EBITDA both increased by about 2% (ph) due to increases in the automotive demand and increased compensation and related expenses.

Okay. Let's turn the page on the fourth quarter and I'll give a brief summary of the results for the full year 2018. Regarding the full year, volumes increased 57 million pounds or 11%, 50 million pounds of which was generated by Alumet. Excluding Alumet, volumes increased 1% or 7 million pounds, primarily due to increased munitions and automotive volumes. These volume increases were partially offset by softness in the building and housing market.

Net sales increased by 12% to $1.8 billion. Excluding Alumet, net sales increased 4%, primarily due to an increase in pass through metal prices and an increase in volumes. Adjusted sales increased by 15% to $617 million due to the $56 million of adjusted sales generated by Alumet, other organic volume increases and improvements with our metal pricing sourcing and blending initiatives.

Net income attributable to GBC was $58.2 million or $2.61 per diluted share versus $51.1 million or $2.31 per diluted share in 2017. This increase can be attributed to the combination of the following: a decrease in tax expense of $16.6 million; $7.8 million improvement from our metal pricing sourcing and blending initiatives, $2 million of which occurred within Olin Brass opportunistically and may not repeat in the future; the Alumet acquisition, $4.7 million; $2.4 million more of expenses associated in the prior year for unusual costs of our HSA medical plan transition; increased costs of sales due to inventory reductions at Olin Brass and costs incurred at A.J. Oster related to its ERP implementation; decreased share based compensation expenses of $1.5 million; decreased specified legal and professional expenses of $900,000; the favorable change in our LIFO liquidation loss/gain of $900,000; the absence of a $7.4 million benefit recorded in the prior year related to the recovery of insurance proceeds associated with our 2016 production outage; an unfavorable change in our lower cost of market adjustment to inventory of $6.5 million; increased employee and related expenses; increased depreciation expenses of approximately $2.6 million; an unfavorable change in unrealized gains/losses on derivative contracts of $2 million; increased conversion costs of $1.8 million stemming from operational inefficiencies; increased shrinkage costs as a result of higher metal prices; and costs incurred of $700,000 related to the environmental incident in our Olin Brass facility earlier in the year.

Adjusted EBITDA decreased 2% to $129 million, primarily due to the combination of the following: the absence of the $7.4 million of income related to insurance proceeds recorded in 2017 for the 2016 production outage; increased employee and employee related costs; the increased conversion costs of $1.8 million stemming from operational inefficiencies that negatively impacted the yields and productivity; increased shrinkage costs as a result of higher metal prices; $700,000 associated with the environmental incident at the Olin Bras facility earlier in the year; $7.8 million improvement from our metal pricing sourcing and blending initiatives, $2 million of which is associated in Olin Brass and may not repeat in the future; increased income from our Alumet acquisition of $5.9 million; and $2.4 million more of unusual costs in the prior year associated with HSA, inventory reductions and ERP transition costs as previously mentioned.

Next, for the fourth quarter and full year as compared to the prior year, adjusted diluted earnings per common share, a non-GAAP measure, increased 88% and 27% to $0.56 per share and $2.12 per share respectively. Along with the factors affecting adjusted EBITDA and the related tax impact, favorable fluctuations in the provision for income taxes also affected the fluctuation in adjusted diluted earnings per share. An increase in the weighted average shares outstanding negatively affected adjusted diluted EPS by $0.02 per share for the year.

We ended the year with $126 million of cash, $313 million outstanding under our term loan facility and $195 million of availability under our asset based loan revo (ph) facility. During 2018 we generated $122 million of cash from operating activities, $101 million from earnings and $21 million of cash inflows from changes in working capital, which was impacted by the timing of total sales.

In the fourth quarter we repurchased 400,000 shares of our common stock, and under the 2018 share repurchase program we have a remaining authorization of $22.4 million. Capital expenditures in 2018 were $26 million compared to $25 million in 2017. We expect capital expenditures in 2019 to be between $30 million and $35 million.

I'd like to go back to our Alumet acquisition briefly. Please recall that when we acquired Alumet about a year ago, we expected long-term volume and adjusted EBITDA run rates to approximate 55 million pounds to 65 million pounds and $5 million to $7 million. The fact that in 2018 Alumet generated $7 million of adjusted EBITDA and 58 (ph) million pounds demonstrates not only our commitment to growing profitably through acquisitions as well as organically but also our ability to integrate the acquisitions we make. And while we still have further synergies to gain, I commend our team on their execution of the Alumet integration plan and building value for our shareholders and customers.

Last, before I turn to our guidance for 2019, please be aware that beginning in 2019, we are no longer including stock compensation expense as an add-back to arrive at adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share. I encourage you to review a presentation we have posted to our website that walks through the justification for this change and present our historical calculations of these metrics and the old and new bases of calculation. But in brief, we believe our results are more comparable to our peers by not adding back these expenses and we will revise our 2018 and prior amounts to make them comparable to our 2019 presentation. The annual revisions of these amounts are included with the presentation deck that I mentioned we posted to our website.

Now turning to our outlook for 2019. I would like to first remind you that we focus on the long term and our ability to provide guidance is constrained by our short lead times and the tenancy of our shipment volumes to lag published market indicators. Having said that, based on a variety of factors including our 2018 results, industry trends and our own insight, our 2019 guidance for volumes and adjusted EBITDA under the new calculation methodology of that metric is as follows: shipment volumes within the range of 555 million pounds to 595 million pounds and adjusted EBITDA within the range of $120 million to $130 million. Our adjusted EBITDA guidance of $120 million to $130 million is comparable to 2018's amount of $121.8 million excluding the stock comp add-back. If we still utilize our old methodology of calculating adjusted EBITDA, our guidance would have been $129 million to $139 million as compared to the $128.5 million we actually generated in 2018.

With that, I turn the call back over to John.

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Christopher.

We continue to be pleased with our Alumet acquisition results and its integration into A.J. Oster.

As you know, we have a strong capital structure and cash flows and we're excited about the opportunities we have to improve our businesses and encouraged by the progress our employees have made in advancing improvements across the enterprise. We'll remain focused on driving profitable growth and will be disciplined on costs, productivity, margin management and working capital efficiency.

Thank you to the employees of GBC for their teamwork and continued focus on improving our customer -- creating unique value for our customers. We look forward to continuing to serve our customers and shareholders, and we thank you for your interest and continued support.

Now we're ready to take your questions. Operator, please explain the question-and-answer procedures.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Daniel Moore from CJS Securities. Your line is open.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

John, Christopher, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions.

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Dan.

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Dan.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

I'll start with housing and building. How much of the softness that you saw in Q4 would you attribute to just end markets being a little bit softer? How much is it -- a little bit more imports from competition for -- from low-cost imports for finished goods and any update on the kind of trade front there?

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

I'll start with your last, update on trade front, is -- the $200 billion tranche of tariffs that were enacted I think several months ago at 10% that we're planning to go to 25% on March 1st that has subsequently been delayed, there were several handfuls of brass parts that were considered in that. And those brass parts basically competed with Chase Brass customers who consume brass lock (ph). So we're watchful to see how all that plays out here over the coming months. So that's the story from material standpoint. I think as we think about the second half of 2018 and even the first quarter of 2019, Dan, I think two things have happened. One is, you've had the warm turn a bit mid last year as far as housing formation is concerned. And as that occurred, I think the customers and the retail and the wholesale looked at their inventory levels based upon lower sales and they started backing up their purchasing a bit. And then the second thing you had is, as a result of the threat -- and we don't have any data right now to support this, but we've had a lot of chatter with our customers. As a result of the threat of the tariffs going from 10% to 25%, it's our belief that within the channel certain wholesalers, retailers or whatever pre-purchased. So you had an influx of inventory that was submitted into the channel as well. So you really had two things happening in the second half of the year. I think we hit the low point in the fourth quarter. My guess is -- or our expectation is, building and housing is going to continue to be soft through the first quarter and then start coming back up. And quite frankly, as we look at our '19 building and housing as compared to '18, we're expecting it to be more.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. Great color. Appreciate it. In terms of auto and electrical, it's been a driver for you, obviously. Didn't touch on it specifically in terms of nearer-term trends, Q4, going into early 2019. What are you seeing there?

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

We continue to be positive, and hats off to the teams at A.J. Oster and Olin Brass on the work they've done over the last several years in repositioning our high performance alloy portfolio not only from a production cost perspective, but also from a value perspective, getting what is rightfully ours from a customer standpoint. We're well positioned; we've got strong customer participants; and we're excited about what's happening with the electrifications of cars, and inevitably autonomous driving will add even more. So we're feeling positive about the amount of our product going into cars, not only in the luxury levels but now even in the mid range and lower range cars.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. And last, and then I'll jump back in queue. But you called out, John, some unfavorable conversion costs impacting Q4 at the margin. Talk about those and to what extent those are remedied or -- kind of the outlook there. Thank you.

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. We had some specific issues at Olin Brass that have been remedied. And then 2018 was a challenging year for Chase from an operational perspective, with some first part of the year issues relative to labor -- relative to labor access and a variety of things, which they have worked very hard on remediating. And in addition to that, they had some equipment issues that had to be addressed in the Christmas outage, and that resulted in additional fourth quarter expense. But pleased to report that remedied those issues.

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Just to build on to that. The team did a really good job in managing that. If you look at Chase specifically, like John was talking about, their volumes for first half of the year and then second half of the year were about 3 million pounds less than the prior year, each versus the second half, but the cost basis was significantly different. They had north of $2 million of increased costs in the first half of the year associated with these labor issues and managing those, and that really cleared itself through the second half of the year.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Got it. Helpful. As I said, I'll jump back in queue. Thank you.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) I'm showing no further question at this time. I would like to turn the conference back to Anne-Marie D'Angelo.

Anne-Marie W. D'Angelo -- General Counsel and Secretary

Thank you, everyone, for...

Operator

Sorry about that. We have a follow-up question -- comes from the line of Daniel Moore. Your line is open.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Thank you. I'll keep going. I appreciate it. Sorry for the delay. Coinage, John. Obviously, it's always been lumpy quarter to quarter, year to year. What -- how should we think about it? If you look back over maybe a five-year period with the CAGR, is the trajectory, is it up a little, down a little? And anything you're seeing in terms of changes in that trend?

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

It's bottomed out in 2014. It's been jumping up and then jumping back down. But I think the way you need to think about it is that it's is a GDP-plus business. We're anticipating coinage volumes next year to be very slightly above what we experienced in 2018, and that's the way we're looking at it going forward.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Got it. And then maybe for Christopher, cash generation is obviously through the roof this year. Just -- I think you mentioned a number for receivables. How much of that impacted and any detail or color in terms of how much of that was lower metal prices versus timing of working capital, et cetera?

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Sure. I wouldn't say significant piece is due to changing metal prices. The majority of the fluctuations year-over-year have been due to specific customer relationship activity and kind of almost -- second half of December -- and even second half of December activity. So while we generated significant amount of cash this year, I would expect some of those anomalies to go away and with a CapEx of $30 million to $35 million in '19, I'd expect our free cash flow in '19 to probably be somewhere in the $60 million to $70 million range. That's assuming we also get back to a 26% effective tax rate this year. We are closer to 23%. We had some benefits of changes in accounting that we had to get approved with the IRS and did that and enjoy that benefit this year. So we guided to 25% to 27% at the beginning of the year, and without those election changes, we would have been straight at that 26% mark, which is probably what I'm expecting for 2019.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. That knocks off another question, two birds. But in terms of CapEx ticking up a little bit higher, specific projects or is it just a little bit of delayed or deferred maintenance? What's that modest build there?

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

I wouldn't say it's deferred maintenance. Obviously, given the scope and complexity of our plants, those maintenance, that we do every year. But we've also done a good job over the last several years of putting in costlier but smaller projects around getting production efficiencies and increasing our yield, such things as scanning and surface condition recognition. We've actually done a really good job in those. It's helped us to reduce our break-evens, which is not information that you have available to you, but we've reduced our break-even amount significantly and commend the team on that. So I think the increase for this year, we had thought it would be more in the $30 million to $35 million range. We took a better viewpoint toward managing that more strategically, but I would expect next year probably would be about $30 million to $35 million as well.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Got it. And then lastly, in terms of capital allocation, obviously, more aggressive in Q4 on the buyback front, but still leverage continues to tick lower. Do you expect to remain active in terms of share repurchase absent M&A opportunities?

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I think when we put that program in, we said we'd buyback stocks for two reasons. One, to combat dilution, and two, to be opportunistic and invest in our own stock. So on the spend front, the 400,000 shares we bought back, it didn't combat dilution for the whole year, and that's largely due to just the timing of when we could buy them as well as we didn't implement program until sort of mid part of the year. But I will continue to execute on those buybacks to -- for those same reasons, opportunistically and as well as to combat dilution.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. Appreciate the color once again, and look forward to seeing you in New York in a couple of weeks.

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Hey Dan, this is John. Just one thing that I would add on the capital component is, as we think about the next several years our efforts to profitably grow are not just with our existing business but also with organic growth and then obviously through smart acquisitions. As we think about organic growth, we are making investments in the future regarding capital and people in order to further enhance our opportunities for organic growth, whether that be at A.J. Oster or whether that be at Chase Brass or Olin Brass. So that's also a component of the capital increase.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. Thank you.

Operator

I'm showing no further question at this time. I would like to turn the conference back to Anne-Marie for closing remarks.

Anne-Marie W. D'Angelo -- General Counsel and Secretary

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today and for your continued interest in and support of Global Brass and Copper Holdings. We look forward to speaking with you again during our first quarter conference call. Thanks again, and have a good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day. You may all disconnect.

Duration: 33 minutes

Call participants:

Anne-Marie W. D'Angelo -- General Counsel and Secretary

John J. Wasz -- Chief Executive Officer

Christopher J. Kodosky -- Chief Financial Officer

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

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