Markets were extremely volatile in August as investors were wary about the escalating tariff dispute between Washington and Beijing. As we step into September, trade tensions and fears of recession continue to bother the Wall Street.
In such a situation, investors are dumping stocks to park money in traditional safe-haven securities, leading to a year-to-date surge in gold price of roughly 19%.
Escalating US-Sino Tariff Battle
Since Sep 1, the Trump administration has imposed a 15% tariff on roughly $112 billion of imports from Beijing. America is set to impose a 15% tariff on a separate batch of Chinese goods of roughly $160 billion in value from Dec 15 onward.
Beijing retaliated and started imposing additional tariffs on several imports from the United States to initiate its plan to impose extra duty on $75 billion of American goods. Of the total of 5,078 U.S. products that Beijing imports, 1,717 items have seen additional tariffs of 5% and 10%, respectively. The rest of the countermeasures will be put into effect on Dec 15.
Trade Dispute Threatens US Economy
The latest round of tariff by the Trump administration on billions of dollar worth of Chinese imports has raised prices of consumer goods. Americans now need to pay higher prices for more than 66% of products that Washington imports from Beijing.
With higher retail prices for many products, the administration’s latest stance is likely to impede America’s economic growth since it is primarily driven by consumer spending.
AllianceBernstein, global asset management firm, believes that if the tariff dispute intensifies, businesses in America will curtail their hiring programs. This is likely to further hurt domestic consumer spending, thereby posing additional risks to the U.S. economy.
Time to Pick Safe-Haven Stocks
September is going to be challenging since there are reasons for the stock market to remain volatile. Hence, it would probably be safe for many investors to pick gold stocks which are considered to be safe haven as they can maintain or increase in value during market turmoil.
We have employed our proprietary stock screener to shortlist potential gold stocks carrying either a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd KL is a leading explorer and producer of gold. The company has an average positive earnings surprise of 6.1% for the past four quarters. Moreover, over the past 30 days, the #1 Ranked stock has been witnessing positive earnings estimate revisions for 2019 and 2020, respectively.
AngloGold Ashanti Limited AU, headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, is among the largest gold miners in the world. For 2019 and 2020, the Zacks #1 Ranked stock is likely to see earnings growth of 158.5% and 60.6%, respectively.
Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Barrick Gold Corporation GOLD is a leading explorer of gold with 61.5% interest in the prolific Nevada Gold Mines. The company, with a Zacks Rank of 2, is likely to see earnings growth of 54.3% and 31.2% for 2019 and 2020, respectively.
Barrick has also managed to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the prior four quarters, the positive average earnings surprise being 8.3%.
Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, B2Gold Corp. BTG is a leading gold producer in the world. Through 2019 and 2020, the company with a Zacks Rank of 2 is likely to see earnings growth of 25% and 74.4%, respectively.
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