U.S. markets open in 8 hours 51 minutes
  • S&P Futures

    4,476.50
    +2.25 (+0.05%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    34,766.00
    +17.00 (+0.05%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    15,532.00
    +14.25 (+0.09%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    2,227.40
    -0.50 (-0.02%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    72.41
    -0.20 (-0.28%)
     
  • Gold

    1,759.80
    +3.10 (+0.18%)
     
  • Silver

    22.96
    +0.17 (+0.73%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1780
    +0.0008 (+0.07%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.3310
    -1.3040 (-100.00%)
     
  • Vix

    18.69
    -18.18 (-100.00%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3799
    +0.0002 (+0.02%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    109.8300
    +0.1120 (+0.10%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    48,020.10
    -330.08 (-0.68%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,229.13
    -4.16 (-0.34%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,027.48
    +10.99 (+0.16%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    30,482.47
    +159.13 (+0.52%)
     

Goldman, Citi See Aluminum Rally Raging On as Bears Flag Caution

·1 min read

(Bloomberg) -- Aluminum’s run-up to a 13-year high has some analysts doubling down on forecasts for further gains. Others warn the peak is already here.

Since early last week, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. have boosted their price outlooks for the metal. Trafigura Group’s chief economist told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday that the metal is heading for a record high amid booming demand and deepening production deficits. But the rally may sow the seeds of its own demise, according to the China Nonferrous Metals Association, which said last week that supply isn’t in a notable shortfall and consumption isn’t strong enough to warrant such prices. Aluminum may retreat quickly once the high prices dent demand and substitutions emerge, it said.

Jorge Vazquez, managing director of Harbor Intelligence, agrees, saying demand momentum is past its cyclical peak now.

“We see China’s structural demand momentum waning” and in growing danger of a recession or financial crisis, Vazquez said Thursday at Harbor’s industry conference in Chicago. “The current expansion in demand is on steroids and is set to likely end with a sharp hangover.”

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

Subscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.