Is Great Canadian Gaming Corporation (TSE:GC) Attractive At This PE Ratio?

I am writing today to help inform people who are new to the stock market and want to begin learning about how to value company based on its current earnings and what are the drawbacks of this method.

Great Canadian Gaming Corporation (TSE:GC) is trading with a trailing P/E of 24.2, which is higher than the industry average of 16.3. While this might not seem positive, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

See our latest analysis for Great Canadian Gaming

Demystifying the P/E ratio

TSX:GC PE PEG Gauge October 22nd 18
TSX:GC PE PEG Gauge October 22nd 18

The P/E ratio is a popular ratio used in relative valuation since earnings power is a key driver of investment value. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

P/E Calculation for GC

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

GC Price-Earnings Ratio = CA$44.1 ÷ CA$1.821 = 24.2x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. We want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar characteristics as GC, such as size and country of operation. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. At 24.2, GC’s P/E is higher than its industry peers (16.3). This implies that investors are overvaluing each dollar of GC’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 12 Hospitality companies in CA including Transat A.T, Evergreen Gaming and Pizza Pizza Royalty. You could also say that the market is suggesting that GC is a stronger business than the average comparable company.

Assumptions to watch out for

Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that there are assumptions in this analysis. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to GC. If not, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if Great Canadian Gaming Corporation is growing faster than its peers, then it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. Of course, it is possible that the stocks we are comparing with GC are not fairly valued. Just because it is trading on a higher P/E ratio than its peers does not mean it must be overvalued. After all, the peer group could be undervalued.

What this means for you:

If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to rebalance your portfolio and reduce your holdings in GC. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for GC’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for GC’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has GC been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of GC’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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