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Guru's Stocks With High Predictability

- By Tiziano Frateschi

According to GuruFocus' All-in-One Screener, the following stocks have high business predictability ratings, and total returns since the beginning of the year are positive. At least five gurus are shareholders in the companies.


ACI Worldwide Inc. (ACIW)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 4 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 8% during the last 12 months. Together with its subsidiaries it develops, markets, installs and supports software products and services to facilitate electronic payments.

The stock is trading with a price-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.62. The price has been as high as $22.95 and as low as $15.11 over the last 52 weeks. It is 7.63% below its 52-week high and 40.30% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is overpriced by 83% at $21.13.

Three hedge funds hold a total of 2 million shares. Ron Baron (Trades, Portfolio) is the largest shareholder among the gurus with 1.25% of outstanding shares followed by Chuck Royce (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.59% and Wallace Weitz (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.14%.

American Financial Group Inc. (AFG)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 40% during the last 12 months. Through its subsidiaries it is engaged in property and casualty insurance and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets.

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 12.91. The price has been as high as $97.00 and as low as $67.06 the last 52 weeks. It is 2.30% below its 52-week high and 41.32% above its 52-week low.

Three gurus are holding a total of 118,498 shares. The largest shareholder among the gurus is Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.14% of outstanding shares followed by Royce with 0.12% and David Dreman (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.01%.

Amgen Inc. (AMGN)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 4 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 4% during the last 12 months. It is a biotechnology company that discovers, develops, manufactures and delivers human therapeutics. The company's business segment is human therapeutics.

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 15.87. The price has been as high as $184.21 and as low as $133.64 the last 52 weeks. It is 11.63% below its 52-week high and 21.81% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is undervalued with a margin of safety of 17% at $163.11.

Ten gurus hold a total of 2 million shares. PRIMECAP Management (Trades, Portfolio) is the largest shareholder among the gurus with 3.04% of outstanding shares followed by Vanguard Health Care Fund (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.25%, Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.24%, David Carlson (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.06%, Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.04%, Third Avenue Management (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.03% and Martin Whitman (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.02%.

Aon PLC (AON)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 4 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 17% during the last 12 months. It provides risk management services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage and human resource consulting and outsourcing, delivering distinctive client value via effective risk management and workforce productivity solutions.

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 23.21. The price has been as high as $120.40 and as low as $100.55 the last 52 weeks. It is 0.53% below its 52-week high and 19.10% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is overpriced by 26% at $119.76.

Four gurus hold a total of 6.9 million shares. The largest shareholder among the gurus is First Pacific Advisors (Trades, Portfolio) with 2.07% of outstanding shares followed by Steven Romick (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.52%, Bill Nygren (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.06% and NWQ Managers (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.38%.

American Express Co. (AXP)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 28% during the last 12 months. It is a payments, network and travel company that offers credit payment card products and travel-related services to consumers and businesses

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 13.74. The price has been as high as $82 and as low as $57.15 the last 52 weeks. It is 5.50% below its 52-week high and 35.59% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is undervalued with a margin of safety of 2% at $77.49.

Nineteen gurus hold a total of 102 million shares. Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio) is the largest shareholder among the gurus with 16.85% of outstanding shares followed by Dodge & Cox with 3.19%, Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss with 1.88%, First Eagle Investment (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.77%, Chris Davis (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.34%, Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.185, Jeremy Grantham (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.69% and First Pacific Advisors with 0.64%.

Boeing Co. (BA)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 37% during the last 12 months. Together with its subsidiaries designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems and services.

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 23.27. The price has been as high as $185.71 and as low as $122.35 the last 52 weeks. It is 4.39% below its 52-week high and 45.12% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is overpriced by 54% at $178.57.

Nine gurus hold a total of 2 million shares. The largest shareholder among the gurus is T Rowe Price Equity Income Fund (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.47% of outstanding shares followed by Spiros Segalas (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.44%, HOTCHKIS & WILEY with 0.27%, PRIMECAP Management with 0.17%, Greenblatt with 0.08%, Simons with 0.06%, Fisher with 0.05% and Mario Gabelli (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.02%.

Brookfield Asset Management Inc. Class A (BAM)

GuruFocus gives the company a business predictability rating of 5 out of 5 stars. The stock has risen by 14% during the last 12 months. It is an alternative asset management company focused on property, renewable energy, infrastructure and private equity.

The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 24.31. The price has been as high as $37.52 and as low as $31.80 the last 52 weeks. It is 1.39% below its 52-week high and 16.35% above its 52-week low. According to the DCF calculator, the stock is overpriced by 27% at $37.

Four gurus hold a total of 8.2 million shares. Lou Simpson (Trades, Portfolio) is the largest shareholder among the gurus with 0.84% of outstanding shares followed by Glenn Greenberg (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.64%, Tom Gayner (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.52% and Third Avenue Management with 0.44%.

Disclosure: I do not own any shares of any stocks mentioned in this article.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.