Harley-Davidson (HOG) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company.
The upward trend in estimate revisions for this motorcycle maker reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank.
The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.
For Harley-Davidson, strong agreement among the covering analysts in revising earnings estimates upward has resulted in meaningful improvement in consensus estimates for the next quarter and full year.
The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions
For the current quarter, the company is expected to earn $0.10 per share, which is a change of +11.11% from the year-ago reported number.
Over the last 30 days, six estimates have moved higher for Harley-Davidson while two have gone lower. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 191.38%.
Current-Year Estimate Revisions
For the full year, the company is expected to earn $0.73 per share, representing a year-over-year change of -72.76%.
There has been an encouraging trend in estimate revisions for the current year as well. Over the past month, nine estimates have moved up for Harley-Davidson versus no negative revisions. This has pushed the consensus estimate 118.28% higher.
Favorable Zacks Rank
The promising estimate revisions have helped Harley-Davidson earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.
Investors have been betting on Harley-Davidson because of its solid estimate revisions, as evident from the stock's 25.1% gain over the past four weeks. As its earnings growth prospects might push the stock higher, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.
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HarleyDavidson, Inc. (HOG) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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