As we already know from media reports and hedge fund investor letters, many hedge funds lost money in fourth quarter, blaming macroeconomic conditions and unpredictable events that hit several sectors, with technology among them. Nevertheless, most investors decided to stick to their bullish theses and their long-term focus allows us to profit from the recent declines. In particular, let’s take a look at what hedge funds think about Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) in this article.
Why do we pay any attention at all to hedge fund sentiment? Our research has shown that hedge funds' large-cap stock picks indeed failed to beat the market between 1999 and 2016. However, we were able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the market by 32 percentage points since May 2014 through March 12, 2019 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that'll significantly underperform the market. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 and they lost 27.5% through March 12, 2019. That's why we believe hedge fund sentiment is an extremely useful indicator that investors should pay attention to.
We're going to review the key hedge fund action encompassing Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM).
How have hedgies been trading Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM)?
At Q4's end, a total of 37 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held long positions in this stock, a change of -12% from the second quarter of 2018. The graph below displays the number of hedge funds with bullish position in TSM over the last 14 quarters. So, let's review which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.
Among these funds, Fisher Asset Management held the most valuable stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM), which was worth $1337.2 million at the end of the third quarter. On the second spot was Lansdowne Partners which amassed $466.5 million worth of shares. Moreover, Arrowstreet Capital, AQR Capital Management, and LMR Partners were also bullish on Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM), allocating a large percentage of their portfolios to this stock.
Due to the fact that Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) has faced bearish sentiment from the entirety of the hedge funds we track, it's easy to see that there lies a certain "tier" of funds who sold off their entire stakes heading into Q3. Intriguingly, Panayotis Takis Sparaggis's Alkeon Capital Management sold off the largest investment of the 700 funds tracked by Insider Monkey, comprising an estimated $88.3 million in stock, and Christopher James's Partner Fund Management was right behind this move, as the fund dumped about $63.5 million worth. These transactions are intriguing to say the least, as total hedge fund interest dropped by 5 funds heading into Q3.
Let's go over hedge fund activity in other stocks - not necessarily in the same industry as Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) but similarly valued. We will take a look at The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE:TM), HSBC Holdings plc (NYSE:HSBC), and The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS). This group of stocks' market values are similar to TSM's market value.
[table] Ticker, No of HFs with positions, Total Value of HF Positions (x1000), Change in HF Position BA,67,4051862,14 TM,8,133409,-1 HSBC,11,1011291,5 DIS,71,3407820,8 Average,39.25,2151096,6.5 [/table]
View table here if you experience formatting issues.
As you can see these stocks had an average of 39.25 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $2151 million. That figure was $4007 million in TSM's case. The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE:TM) is the least popular one with only 8 bullish hedge fund positions. Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (NYSE:TSM) is not the least popular stock in this group but hedge fund interest is still below average. Overall hedge fund sentiment towards TSM seems to be bearish to neutral. Our calculations showed that top 15 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 19.7% through March 15th and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by 6.6 percentage points. Unfortunately TSM wasn't in this group. Hedge funds that bet on TSM were disappointed as the stock returned 7.4% and underperformed the market. If you are interested in investing in large cap stocks, you should check out the top 15 hedge fund stocks as 13 of these outperformed the market.
Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.