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Here's Why Zumiez's (ZUMZ) Q4 Earnings Likely to Increase

Zacks Equity Research
·3 min read

Zumiez Inc. ZUMZ is scheduled to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2019 results on Mar 12, after the closing bell. In the trailing four quarters, the company’s bottom line outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 64.1%, on average. In the last reported quarter, the company beat the consensus mark by 27.1%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings has been stable over the past 30 days at $1.36 per share. This suggests a rise of 15.3% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure. For revenues, the consensus mark is pegged at $326 million, indicating an increase of 7% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.

Key Things to Note

Zumiez has been gaining from its differentiated assortments, store base expansion and implementation of advanced technology to augment customers’ shopping experience across diverse channels. Further, it has been boosting competitiveness by making investments in logistics, planning and allocation.

Also, the company has been expanding e-commerce and omnichannel capabilities to provide consumers with the facility of quick and easy access to its products and brands. The company considerably improved customers’ experience by integrating its physical and digital networks. This, in turn, allows customers to access inventories through all channels alongside availing facilities like buy online, pick up in store, among others. These factors have been aiding the company’s top-line performance.

This is evident from the company’s upbeat performance during the holiday season, which coincides with the fourth quarter. The company reported 6.8% growth in comparable sales (comps) for the nine-week period ended Jan 4, 2020. This prompted management to provide an encouraging comps and earnings per share view for the final quarter.

Management guided fourth-quarter comps growth of around 6%. Moreover, adjusted earnings per share are anticipated in a band of $1.34-$1.38. This suggests growth of 13-17% from $1.18 per share earned in the same quarter last fiscal.

Zumiez Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Zumiez Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Zumiez Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Zumiez Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Zumiez Inc. Quote

What the Zacks Model Predicts

Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Zumiez this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Although Zumiez carries a Zacks Rank #2, it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%.

Stocks Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates

Here are a few companies you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination to post an earnings beat:

Noodles & Company NDLS has an Earnings ESP of +25.00% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Children's Place PLCE has an Earnings ESP of +1.16% and a Zacks Rank #3.

RH RH has an Earnings ESP of +1.61% and a Zacks Rank #3.

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