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Imagine Owning Comvita (NZSE:CVT) And Trying To Stomach The 70% Share Price Drop

Simply Wall St

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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Comvita Limited (NZSE:CVT) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 70% drop in the share price over that period. And over the last year the share price fell 47%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 24% in the last 90 days.

Check out our latest analysis for Comvita

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Comvita saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 55% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 33% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 78.72.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NZSE:CVT Past and Future Earnings, July 19th 2019

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Comvita's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Comvita's TSR, which was a 70% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Comvita had a tough year, with a total loss of 47%, against a market gain of about 18%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Before forming an opinion on Comvita you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

We will like Comvita better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NZ exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.