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Intel Forecast Tops Estimates on Data Center Chips; Shares Surge

Ian King

Intel Corp. gave a better-than-projected second-quarter sales forecast, proving that for now the computer industry just can’t quit its products.

Sales in the current period will be $16.3 billion, the Santa Clara, California-based company said in a statement Thursday. That compares with an average analyst estimate of $15.6 billion. Earnings per share will be 85 cents.

The shares, which have outperformed other industry stocks this year, jumped 6.6 percent in extended trading following the announcement. They closed at $53.05 in New York trading, leaving them up 15 percent this year.

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Under Chief Executive Officer Brian Krzanich, Intel is increasingly touting its efforts beyond personal-computer processors, a business that’s long provided the company with the majority of income. The drive to lessen its reliance on an industry that hasn’t expanded for six years has been bolstered by massive spending on the servers that are the basic component of the data centers that run the Internet. Alphabet Inc.’s Google and its competitors continue to pour money into those machines, benefiting Intel, which controls more than 99 percent of the market for chips that run them.

Growth in the data center group has become one of the key indicators of Intel’s overall performance, and investors are focused on whether that unit can maintain the double-digit revenue-expansion rate executives have promised. One hurdle for that business has been lackluster spending by corporations, which are increasingly outsourcing their computing tasks to cloud providers and cutting back investment in their own infrastructure. In the first quarter, data center group revenue grew 24 percent.

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Intel’s forecast signals that major server customers need the company more than ever to expand their ability to store, transmit and process the massive amounts of data that their customers generate and demand.

“I think the spending environment overall is stronger,” said Romit Shah, an analyst at Instinet LLC. While the PC market is no longer growing, its precipitous decline is over, helping Intel’s biggest market by volume of chips sold. “PC is in a good place. It’s bottomed. It’s stable.”

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Rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc., which Intel had relegated to less than 1 percent of the market for server processors, debuted a new design for that market last year that AMD says makes it competitive for the first time in years. AMD on Wednesday said that owners of large data centers are showing more interest in its Epyc server product, sending sales up by more than 10 percent in the first quarter. The company also predicted a surge in revenue in the current quarter.

While AMD produces chips that are broadly the same design as those from Intel, other threats are less direct. Nvidia Corp. sells graphics chips for data centers that are adapted for artificial intelligence processing work, a business that is on course to generate more than $2 billion in annual revenue. Customers such as Google have create their own chips that do portions of the computing previously done by Intel’s Xeon server processors. Intel has tried to counter that diversification by acquiring makers of other types of chips and building them into its offerings. That hasn’t yet unhitched its fortunes from its main product, the chip technology known as x86.

In the first quarter, sales climbed 9 percent to $16.1 billion, Intel said. Profit was $4.5 billion, or 93 cents a share, compared with $3 billion, or 61 cents, in the same period a year earlier. Analysts on average were projecting adjusted profit of 71 cents on sales of $15.1 billion.

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