Introducing OneMain Holdings (NYSE:OMF), A Stock That Climbed 66% In The Last Three Years

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By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the OneMain Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:OMF) share price is up 66% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 34% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 60% , including dividends .

View our latest analysis for OneMain Holdings

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

OneMain Holdings was able to grow its EPS at 58% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 18% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 7.40.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NYSE:OMF Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020
NYSE:OMF Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020

It is of course excellent to see how OneMain Holdings has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on OneMain Holdings's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of OneMain Holdings, it has a TSR of 92% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that OneMain Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 60% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 1.4%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand OneMain Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for OneMain Holdings you should be aware of.

Of course OneMain Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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