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Should You Investigate Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI) At US$3.51?

Simply Wall St

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI), which is in the chemicals business, and is based in United States, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Intrepid Potash’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Intrepid Potash

Is Intrepid Potash still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 10.88% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Intrepid Potash today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $3.17, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Intrepid Potash’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Intrepid Potash look like?

NYSE:IPI Past and Future Earnings, July 30th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Intrepid Potash’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? IPI’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on IPI, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Intrepid Potash. You can find everything you need to know about Intrepid Potash in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Intrepid Potash, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.