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Should You Investigate Julius Bär Gruppe AG (VTX:BAER) At CHF48.46?

Simply Wall St

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Julius Bär Gruppe AG (VTX:BAER). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SWX. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Julius Bär Gruppe’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Julius Bär Gruppe

Is Julius Bär Gruppe still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Julius Bär Gruppe seems to be fairly priced at around 2.71% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Julius Bär Gruppe today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is CHF47.18, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Julius Bär Gruppe’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Julius Bär Gruppe?

SWX:BAER Past and Future Earnings, January 28th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 47% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Julius Bär Gruppe. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? BAER’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BAER, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Julius Bär Gruppe. You can find everything you need to know about Julius Bär Gruppe in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Julius Bär Gruppe, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.