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Should You Investigate A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) At US$48.74?

Simply Wall St

A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS), which is in the building business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$52.08 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$44.48. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether A. O. Smith's current trading price of US$48.74 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at A. O. Smith’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for A. O. Smith

What's the opportunity in A. O. Smith?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 32%, trading at US$48.74 compared to my intrinsic value of $36.83. This means that the opportunity to buy A. O. Smith at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that A. O. Smith’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will A. O. Smith generate?

NYSE:AOS Past and Future Earnings, November 28th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. A. O. Smith’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in AOS’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe AOS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AOS for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for AOS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on A. O. Smith. You can find everything you need to know about A. O. Smith in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in A. O. Smith, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.