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Should You Investigate Varonis Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNS) At US$62.67?

Simply Wall St

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Varonis Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNS), which is in the software business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of $72.76 and falling to the lows of $58.31. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Varonis Systems's current trading price of $62.67 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Varonis Systems’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Varonis Systems

What is Varonis Systems worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 48.17%, trading at US$62.67 compared to my intrinsic value of $42.3. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Furthermore, Varonis Systems’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from Varonis Systems?

NasdaqGS:VRNS Past and Future Earnings, July 8th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Varonis Systems, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -9.0%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If you believe VRNS is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on VRNS for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Varonis Systems. You can find everything you need to know about Varonis Systems in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Varonis Systems, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.