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Investors Who Bought Becker Milk (TSE:BEK.B) Shares Five Years Ago Are Now Down 18%

Simply Wall St

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in The Becker Milk Company Limited (TSE:BEK.B), since the last five years saw the share price fall 18%. The silver lining is that the stock is up 1.1% in about a week.

View our latest analysis for Becker Milk

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Becker Milk actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 86% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics.

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. However, revenue has declined at a compound annual rate of 6.2% per year. With dividends up, but revenue down, some investors might be concluding that the company is no longer growing.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

TSX:BEK.B Income Statement, October 26th 2019

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Becker Milk the TSR over the last 5 years was 6.6%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Becker Milk shareholders are up 7.8% for the year (even including dividends) . But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 1.3% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Before forming an opinion on Becker Milk you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.