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Investors Who Bought Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NYSE:NGVC) Shares Five Years Ago Are Now Down 37%

Simply Wall St

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NYSE:NGVC) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 20% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 37% in that half decade.

See our latest analysis for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Looking back five years, both Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 4.1% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 8.8% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:NGVC Past and Future Earnings, September 16th 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 4.2% in the last year, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage shareholders lost 31%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8.8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you would like to research Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.