Have Investors Priced In BayWa Aktiengesellschaft’s (FRA:BYW) Growth?
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (DB:BYW), a trade distributors company based in Germany, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the DB in the over the last few months, increasing to €35 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €30.4. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether BayWa’s current trading price of €30.8 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at BayWa’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View our latest analysis for BayWa
What is BayWa worth?
According to my valuation model, BayWa seems to be fairly priced at around 2% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy BayWa today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is €30.26, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. In addition to this, it seems like BayWa’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What kind of growth will BayWa generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for BayWa. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in BYW’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BYW, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on BayWa. You can find everything you need to know about BayWa in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in BayWa, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.
