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What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For Achieve Life Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHV)?

Simply Wall St

Anyone researching Achieve Life Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHV) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

View our latest analysis for Achieve Life Sciences

What does ACHV's beta value mean to investors?

Given that it has a beta of 1.26, we can surmise that the Achieve Life Sciences share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Achieve Life Sciences shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Achieve Life Sciences is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NasdaqCM:ACHV Income Statement, September 9th 2019

How does ACHV's size impact its beta?

Achieve Life Sciences is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of US$19m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the Achieve Life Sciences share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there's plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether ACHV is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Achieve Life Sciences’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ACHV’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ACHV’s outlook.
  2. Financial Health: Are ACHV’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.