If you are currently a shareholder in Oxford Industries Inc (NYSE:OXM), or considering investing in the stock, you need to examine how the business generates cash, and how it is reinvested. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. I will take you through OXM’s cash flow health and the risk-return concept based on the stock’s cash flow yield, using the most recent financial data. This will help you think about the company from a cash perspective, which is a crucial factor to investing.
What is free cash flow?
Oxford Industries generates cash through its day-to-day business, which needs to be reinvested into the company in order for it to continue operating. What remains after this expenditure, is known as its free cash flow, or FCF, for short.
There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of Oxford Industries’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.
Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure
Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value
where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt
Along with a positive operating cash flow, Oxford Industries also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 2.03% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because Oxford Industries’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.
Does Oxford Industries have a favourable cash flow trend?
Another important consideration is whether this return is likely to be maintained over the next couple of years. We can gauge this by looking at OXM’s expected operating cash flows. Over the next few years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 45%, ramping up from its current levels of US$93m to US$135m in two years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, OXM’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 32% next year, to 9.9% in the following year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.
The company’s low yield relative to the market index means you are taking on more risk holding the single-stock Oxford Industries as opposed to the diversified market portfolio, and being compensated for less. Though the high operating cash flow growth in the future could change this. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, You should continue to research Oxford Industries to get a better picture of the company by looking at:
- Valuation: What is OXM worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether OXM is currently mispriced by the market.
- Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Oxford Industries’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org.