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Has Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KTOS) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

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·4 min read
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Most readers would already be aware that Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' (NASDAQ:KTOS) stock increased significantly by 49% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is:

0.6% = US$5.5m ÷ US$850m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.01 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' Earnings Growth And 0.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 8.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. In spite of this, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 48% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 17% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is KTOS fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Kratos Defense & Security Solutions certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.