Kubota Credit Owner Trust 2022-1 -- Moodys assigns provisional ratings to Kubota Credit Owner Trust 2022-1 notes
Rating Action: Moodys assigns provisional ratings to Kubota Credit Owner Trust 2022-1 notesGlobal Credit Research - 09 Mar 2022New York, March 09, 2022 -- Moodys Investors Service (Moodys) has assigned provisional ratings to the notes to be issued by Kubota Credit Owner Trust 2022-1 (KCOT 2022-1). The notes will be backed by a pool of retail installment loans secured by new agricultural, construction and turf equipment. Kubota Credit Corporation, U.S.A. (KCC) originated the contracts and will be the servicer of the pool to be securitized. KCOT 2022-1 will be KCCs eleventh transaction. KCC is a 90% owned subsidiary of Kubota North America Corporation, which is wholly owned by Kubota Corporation.The complete rating actions are as follows:Issuer: Kubota Credit Owner Trust 2022-1Class A-1 Notes, Assigned (P)P-1 (sf)Class A-2 Notes, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)Class A-3 Notes, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)Class A-4 Notes, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)RATINGS RATIONALEThe provisional ratings of the notes are based on (1) the strong credit quality of the underlying equipment contract pool to be securitized and its expected performance, (2) the strong historical performance of prior KCC-sponsored transactions and of KCC's managed portfolio of similar collateral, (3) the track record, experience and expertise of KCC as the originator and servicer, (4) the strength of the transaction structure, including the amount of non-declining hard credit enhancement supporting the notes, and (5) the legal aspects of the transaction. Additionally, we base our short term rating of the Class A-1 notes on the cash flows that we expect the underlying receivables to generate during the collection periods prior to the Class A-1 notes legal final maturity date.Moodys net loss expectation for the KCOT 2022-1 collateral pool is 0.60% and the loss at a Aaa stress is 6.25%. The cumulative net loss expectation is similar to KCOT 2021-1, the last transaction that we rated.Moody's cumulative net loss expectation and loss at a Aaa stress are based on an analysis of the credit quality of the underlying collateral; the historical performance of similar collateral, including securitization performance and managed portfolio performance; the ability of KCC to perform the servicing functions; and current expectations for the macroeconomic environment during the life of the transaction. The high, though declining proportion of consumer obligors, the strong credit quality strong credit quality strong credit quality of the borrowers in the underlying pool, and the inclusion of contracts secured by new equipment that pay monthly contribute to the strong historical performance of similar collateral pools securitized by KCC. Additionally, the net loss expectation reflects the strong and resilient performance of the KCOT deals and KCC's managed portfolio during the pandemic, with low overall delinquency and loss levels and deferral rates consistent with those prior to the pandemic.The Class A notes will benefit from 4.25% of non-declining hard credit enhancement. Hard credit enhancement for the notes will consist of a combination of 3.75% of subordination provided by the unrated certificates and a fully funded reserve account of 0.50%, both as a percentage of the initial aggregate contract balance. The notes may also benefit from excess spread.PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGYThe principal methodology used in these ratings was Equipment Lease and Loan Securitizations Methodology published in August 2021 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBS_1243607. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.Factors that would lead to a downgrade of the ratings:Moody's could downgrade the ratings on the notes if levels of credit enhancement are insufficient to protect investors against current expectations of loss. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or a greater than expected deterioration in the value of the equipment that secure the obligors' promise of payment. As the primary drivers of performance, negative changes in the US macro economy or the condition of the agriculture and construction sectors could also negatively affect the ratings. Additionally, Moody's could downgrade the short-term rating of the Class A-1 notes if there is a significant slowdown in principal collections in the first year of the transaction, which could result from, among other reasons, high delinquencies or a servicer disruption that impacts obligors' payments.Additional research including a pre-sale report for this transaction is available at www.moodys.com.REGULATORY DISCLOSURESFor further specification of Moodys key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moodys Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.Further information on the representations and warranties and enforcement mechanisms available to investors are available on http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBS_1321211.The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement, loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected loss for each rated instrument.Moodys quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moodys weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. 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Please refer to Moodys Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website www.moodys.com.Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.Moodys general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1288235.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moodys affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moodys Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moodys office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moodys affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moodys Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moodys office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating. Gideon Lubin Vice President - Senior Analyst Structured Finance Group Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. 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