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Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

·2 min read

Lassonde Industries Inc. (TSX:LAS.A) is the largest producer of fruit juices and drinks in Canada and one of the top producers of private label shelf-stable beverages in the U.S. The company has 17 plants in North America and extensive distribution system for its branded products in Canada. The fruit juice market is Canada is still quite fragmented, so the company continues to grow by making acquisitions.


Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Lassonde also makes fruit-based snacks, cranberry sauce and other cider-based beverages.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

The stock has sold off over 60% from its 2018 all-time high and is down 45% from the 2021 peak. Shares are trading for 8 times Lassondes five-year average core free cash flow (see operating cash flow chart below).

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Financial metrics

Operating profits (EBIT) in 2021 were about 118 million Canadian dollars ($88.85 million). Given the company's enterprise value of approximately CA$1 billion, this works out to an enterprise value/Ebit ratio of less than 9. Lassonde's 10-year median enterprise value/Ebit ratio was over 14. Therefore, a reversion to normalized enterprise value/Ebit would mean an upside of over 35%. The stock looks very cheap and the company is buying back shares aggressively.

Financial results are steady, with high single-digit operating margins and consistent cash generation. Recent performance has been negatively affected by inflation, causing margins to compress and the stock to fall. As can be seen in the chart below, operating profit and operating margins are below trend. I expect them to revert as the company adjusts to inflationary pressures.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

With the exception of the post-pandemic period, the company's core free cash flow (adjusted for working capital) has increased steadily at over a 6% compound annual growth rate.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Further, Lassonde's balance sheet as of June 30 has low long-term debt of $156 million.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Control

The company was started over 100 years ago from a Quebec fruit stand and is still family controlled by the Lassonde family via super-voting B shares, which are not traded.

Lassonde's book value has been steadily increasing at double digits over the long term. The family control provides the company with good capital allocation and stewardship.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Conclusion

Lassonde could be an excellent lower-risk opportunity in a recessionary environment. It has low leverage and a solid balance sheet.

In addition, the valuation panel suggests the stock is cheap on an absolute basis.

Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity
Lassonde Is a Juicy Opportunity

Due to the emergence of inflation, shares have traded down on the back of transient issues, but I believe they will recover as Lassonde adjusts its pricing to restore profitability. The company has been a boring but steady performer over the last 30 years and I expect this trend to continue. The company enjoys decent scale and wide distribution and relationships with retailers. Further, it pays a decent 2.5% dividend, which is growing, and is buying back its stock.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.