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Some LeoNovus (CVE:LTV) Shareholders Have Taken A Painful 92% Share Price Drop

Simply Wall St

Some stocks are best avoided. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Imagine if you held LeoNovus Inc. (CVE:LTV) for half a decade as the share price tanked 92%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 90% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 63% in the last three months.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

View our latest analysis for LeoNovus

LeoNovus recorded just US$22,000 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that LeoNovus will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as LeoNovus investors might realise.

Our data indicates that LeoNovus had US$18k more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in September 2019. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But since the share price has dived -39% per year, over 5 years , it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how LeoNovus's cash levels have changed over time. You can see in the image below, how LeoNovus's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

TSXV:LTV Historical Debt, January 3rd 2020

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. It costs nothing but a moment of your time to see if we are picking up on any insider selling.

A Different Perspective

LeoNovus shareholders are down 90% for the year, but the market itself is up 19%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 39% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Before spending more time on LeoNovus it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.