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Leveraged Brazil ETF Eyes Elections

This article was originally published on ETFTrends.com.

Brazil, Latin America's largest economy, holds the first round of national elections on Sunday, Oct. 7 with front runner and far-right politician Jair Bolsonaro currently leading the polls.

Brazilian assets have recently been rallying in anticipation of the first round election. For example, the Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 3X ETF (BRZU) entered Friday as the best-performing leveraged bullish exchange traded fund in Direxion's stable on a month-to-date basis. BRZU looks to deliver triple the daily returns of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index.

The markets have supported Bolsonaro partly due to the presidential candidate’s appointment of Paulo Guedes, a University of Chicago-trained financier, as his “one-stop shop” on economic policy. Investors believe Guedes is the best hope of a revival of further reforms, which have stalled in recent years.

Bolsonaro “is running on a platform of liberalising gun laws, while cracking down on crime and corruption,” reports RTE. “A member of the relatively small, conservative Social Liberal Party, he also has the backing of millions of evangelical Christians who praise his anti-abortion stance.”

Related: Leveraged Latin America ETF Higher on NAFTA, but Brazil Election Looms

Economic Issues for Brazilian economy

The economy will certainly be on the minds of voters as the Brazilian economy has been slogging its way to a recovery after it experienced its worst recession to date as unemployment levels remain high with double-digit figures and the country is drowning in public debt–equal to 74% of GDP.

Some analysts and market observers believe the election could bring undesired uncertainty regarding Brazil’s fiscal and structural reforms. Some market observers believe Brazil, while one of the most volatile emerging economies, is one of the most compelling opportunities in Latin America.

“Final opinion polls ahead of Sunday’s vote are likely to reflect the most polarized election in a generation, forcing a run-off between Bolsonaro and leftist Workers Party candidate Fernando Haddad,” according to Reuters.

Traders pulled $5 million from BRZU in the third quarter.

For more information on the Brazilian markets, visit our Brazil category.