Quarterly financial reports play a vital role on Wall Street, as they help investors see how a company has performed and what might be coming down the road in the near-term. And out of all of the metrics and results to consider, earnings is one of the most important.
Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.
2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist
The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information. With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure.
Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Allegheny Technologies (ATI) earns a Zacks Rank #1 right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.23 a share, just zero days from its upcoming earnings release on May 4, 2022.
Allegheny Technologies' Earnings ESP sits at 4.55%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $0.23 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.22.
ATI is one of just a large database of Basic Materials stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is GrowGeneration (GRWG).
GrowGeneration, which is readying to report earnings on May 10, 2022, sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) right now. It's Most Accurate Estimate is currently -$0.07 a share, and GRWG is six days out from its next earnings report.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GrowGeneration is -$0.08, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of 14.63%.
ATI and GRWG's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
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Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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