U.S. markets open in 2 hours 23 minutes
  • S&P Futures

    4,559.25
    -6.00 (-0.13%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    35,616.00
    -28.00 (-0.08%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    15,516.75
    -28.25 (-0.18%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    2,282.30
    -11.60 (-0.51%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    83.44
    -1.21 (-1.43%)
     
  • Gold

    1,790.80
    -2.60 (-0.14%)
     
  • Silver

    24.05
    -0.04 (-0.18%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1600
    -0.0003 (-0.02%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.6190
    0.0000 (0.00%)
     
  • Vix

    16.21
    +0.97 (+6.36%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3715
    -0.0049 (-0.35%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    113.7840
    -0.3450 (-0.30%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    59,137.06
    -3,832.07 (-6.09%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,418.33
    -86.82 (-5.77%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,255.55
    -22.07 (-0.30%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    29,098.24
    -7.77 (-0.03%)
     

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's (NYSE:MGY) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·3 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Magnolia Oil & Gas (NYSE:MGY) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 37% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Magnolia Oil & Gas' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Magnolia Oil & Gas

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Magnolia Oil & Gas is:

14% = US$118m ÷ US$844m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.14.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Magnolia Oil & Gas' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

At first glance, Magnolia Oil & Gas seems to have a decent ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 13%. As you might expect, the 92% net income decline reported by Magnolia Oil & Gas is a bit of a surprise. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Magnolia Oil & Gas' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is MGY fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Magnolia Oil & Gas Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Magnolia Oil & Gas has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, we studied the latest analyst forecasts, and found that analysts are expecting the company's earnings growth to improve slightly. The company's existing shareholders might have some respite after all. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.