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MarineMax (HZO) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Zacks Equity Research
·4 min read
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Have you been paying attention to shares of MarineMax (HZO)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 29.7% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $28 in the previous session. MarineMax has gained 66.5% since the start of the year compared to the 24.5% move for the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector and the -3% return for the Zacks Retail - Miscellaneous industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 23, 2020, MarineMax reported EPS of $1.58 versus consensus estimate of $0.73 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.58%.

For the current fiscal year, MarineMax is expected to post earnings of $1.52 per share on $1.33 billion in revenues. This represents a -6.75% change in EPS on a 7.87% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.55 per share on $1.35 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 2.3% and 1.34%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

MarineMax may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

MarineMax has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 18.3X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 15.5X versus its peer group's average of 5.7X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, MarineMax currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if MarineMax passes the test. Thus, it seems as though MarineMax shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does MarineMax Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of MarineMax have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also looking good, including Kingfisher (KGFHY), Hibbett Sports (HIBB), and Office Depot (ODP), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 40% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for MarineMax, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.


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MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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