Have you been paying attention to shares of McGrath RentCorp (MGRC)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 8.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $70.88 in the previous session. McGrath RentCorp has gained 32.3% since the start of the year compared to the 12.6% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 37.2% return for the Zacks Financial - Leasing Companies industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 30, 2019, McGrath reported EPS of $0.79 versus consensus estimate of $0.73 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 3.95%.
For the current fiscal year, McGrath is expected to post earnings of $3.51 per share on $531.4 million in revenues. This represents an 8.33% change in EPS on a 6.64% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.65 per share on $551.3 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 3.99% and 3.74%, respectively.
McGrath may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
McGrath has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 19.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 10.4X versus its peer group's average of 3.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.94. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, McGrath currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if McGrath passes the test. Thus, it seems as though McGrath shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
How Does McGrath Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of McGrath have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also impressive, including Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER), Discover Financial Services (DFS), and Credit Acceptance (CACC), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 2% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for McGrath, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.
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