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It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Nucor Corporation (NYSE:NUE) For Its Next Dividend

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Simply Wall St
·4 min read
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Nucor Corporation (NYSE:NUE) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 2 days. Investors can purchase shares before the 30th of December in order to be eligible for this dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of February.

Nucor's next dividend payment will be US$0.41 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of US$1.61 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Nucor has a trailing yield of 3.1% on the current share price of $52.44. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Nucor's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for Nucor

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Nucor distributed an unsustainably high 114% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. It distributed 40% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's good to see that while Nucor's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
historic-dividend

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Nucor's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 7.8% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Nucor has lifted its dividend by approximately 1.2% a year on average.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Nucor for the upcoming dividend? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 114% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Nucor don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Nucor you should be aware of.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.