U.S. markets closed
  • S&P 500

    4,136.48
    -43.28 (-1.04%)
     
  • Dow 30

    33,926.01
    -127.93 (-0.38%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    12,006.96
    -193.86 (-1.59%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    1,985.53
    -15.69 (-0.78%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    73.23
    -2.65 (-3.49%)
     
  • Gold

    1,865.90
    -50.40 (-2.63%)
     
  • Silver

    22.40
    -1.22 (-5.17%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.0798
    -0.0113 (-1.04%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    3.5320
    +0.1360 (+4.00%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2056
    -0.0173 (-1.41%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    131.1500
    +2.5460 (+1.98%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    23,423.94
    +37.95 (+0.16%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    535.42
    -1.43 (-0.27%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,901.80
    +81.64 (+1.04%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    27,509.46
    +107.41 (+0.39%)
     

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) Current Share Price Momentum?

AAR (NYSE:AIR) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to AAR's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for AAR

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AAR is:

8.6% = US$90m ÷ US$1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2022).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of AAR's Earnings Growth And 8.6% ROE

On the face of it, AAR's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 10%. But AAR saw a five year net income decline of 3.4% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

That being said, we compared AAR's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 4.0% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is AAR fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is AAR Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about AAR. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Join A Paid User Research Session
You’ll receive a US$30 Amazon Gift card for 1 hour of your time while helping us build better investing tools for the individual investors like yourself. Sign up here