Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the seven-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Jon Gray – Colorado (at San Francisco)
Gray has been up-and-down all season, but that’s to be expected when playing half of your games in hitter-friendly Coors Field. He’ll transition to one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks tonight in San Francisco, subsequently providing a legitimate fantasy boost. Facing a Giants’ offense that ranks dead last in wRC+ (74) with an above-average strikeout rate (23.7%) doesn’t hurt either. Gray and the Rockies are listed as a small road favorite, but I believe the Colorado righty holds respectable upside for a mid-range salary to be considered in large-field tournaments.
Abreu has been somewhat modest lately while going 3-21 with one run and no RBIs over his last five games. As a result, some people may skim past him at a competitive first base position. However, I believe this is an interesting bounce-back situation in hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Boston LHP Eduardo Rodriguez has looked better recently, but he still holds a 4.71 ERA on the season. Abreu has been solid against left-handed pitching throughout his career, and he could put that on full display tonight.
This Cubs-Braves matchup has a whopping 11.5 over/under with the wind blowing out to center at Wrigley Field. High-end players like Freddie Freeman, Kris Bryant, Ronald Acuna, Austin Riley, Javier Baez, and Kyle Schwarber will likely carry an inflated ownership rate, but don’t forget about other options such as David Bote. The Chicago infielder has held a respectable blend of contact and power while hitting .267 with nine homers and 34 RBIs through 191 at-bats. Atlanta RHP Julio Teheran got shelled in his last start, and the conditions in Chicago certainly favor hitters tonight.
Hunter Dozier – Kansas City (at Cleveland)
There’s no shortage of viable third basemen in quality matchups tonight, as Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant, Josh Donaldson, Jose Ramirez, and Rafael Devers all represent appealing options in their own right. Don’t forget about Dozier alongside that group, as he has been putting up some impressive numbers this season (.311 average with 12 homers and 38 RBIs). The Kansas City third baseman came off the injured list this weekend while showing no signs of rust after going 3-7 with a double and homer to go along with five RBIs over his past two games. Cleveland RHP Adam Plutko has been far from dominant this season (4.55 ERA), and Dozier represents a sneaky-good source of upside with a low ownership rate.
Brendan Rodgers – Colorado (at San Francisco)
Rodgers hasn’t done much with opportunities at the MLB level this year, but that could change tonight. The 22-year-old will likely start at shortstop with Trevor Story on the injured list, and this is an intriguing matchup against San Francisco LHP Drew Pomeranz. The Giants’ lefty carries an inflated .413 wOBA split to right-handed bats over the past two seasons, creating an opening for guys like Rodgers, Nolan Arenado, and Ian Desmond despite the underwhelming park factor.
Michael Conforto – NY Mets (at Philadelphia)
Philadelphia RHP Zach Eflin has been sharp this season while currently sporting an enviable 2.83 ERA. Most people will avoid NYM hitters because of that, but let’s not forget that Eflin holds a .355 wOBA split to left-handed bats over the past two seasons. If that vulnerability comes to the surface, Michael Conforto will be in a position to make the most of it. Conforto possesses a comfortable blend of contact and power while racking up five hits and two homers over his past five starts. Getting a park boost in Philadelphia doesn’t hurt either.
Alex Gordon – Kansas City (at Cleveland)
Gordon carries similar reasoning as his teammate, Hunter Dozier. Both are quality bats playing within an underwhelming offense, which usually suppresses their ownership rates in daily fantasy tournaments. Gordon has been solid with seven hits, three runs, and eight RBIs over his past six outings, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he keeps producing tonight. As mentioned earlier, Cleveland RHP Plutko has been somewhat mediocre this season, and he carries an exploitable .392 wOBA split against left-handed bats throughout his career.