Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Spencer Turnbull – Detroit (vs. Miami)
Turnbull has impressed this season while currently sporting a 2.40 ERA. Despite that, he should have a lower-than-deserved ownership rate in this head-to-head draw against Marlins' ace Caleb Smith. However, we can’t ignore the matchup potential against a Miami team that ranks dead last in most hitting categories. This is a full slate with plenty of legitimate pitching options, but Turnbull has the best draw on the board. It's difficult to rely on his offense providing enough run support, but Turnbull should live up to his end of the deal.
Logan Forsythe – Texas (vs. Seattle)
Veteran LHP Tommy Milone will start for Seattle tonight, giving us some nostalgia while stacking right-handed bats against the journeyman southpaw. Forsythe is a sneaky-good pick within that, and the hitter-friendly atmosphere of Globe Life Park should provide an additional boost. Texas has one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night, and Forsythe is a capable platoon bat who has notched four multi-hit performances over his last six starts.
Jose Peraza – Cincinnati (at Milwaukee)
Peraza is dirt-cheap with some pop at an otherwise underwhelming second base position. That puts him on my short list of tournament plays while saving cap space at the top dollar picks at other spots. Peraza has launched two homers over his last three starts, so maybe this is the start of a hot streak. Playing in Milwaukee’s hitter-friendly park against LHP Gio Gonzalez (.339 wOBA vs RHB) could help spark the flame.
Urshela doesn’t have much name recognition while hitting down in the Yankees’ order. However, there’s plenty of matchup potential while facing Baltimore RHP David Hess and his .364 wOBA split to right-handed hitters. The Orioles’ bullpen is extremely generous as well, surrendering seven runs through three innings in last night's defeat. Ouch! The Yankees check in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night, and Urshela will be an underrated piece of that.
J.P. Crawford – Seattle (at Texas)
Texas RHP Lance Lynn has been solid at times this season, but he tends to struggle at home while allowing 10 earned runs and 25 hits through 17.1 innings over three starts at Globe Life Park. That’s where he’ll be pitching tonight against a capable Seattle offense. Lynn holds a .359 wOBA split to left-handed bats, which puts Crawford in play at a bargain salary. I'm treating the second base and shortstop position similarly tonight, meaning that I'm willing to punt the spot if I can't make room (or rationalize) the top dollar picks at those respective positions. Peraza (second base) and Crawford make for sensible punts in that regard.
Max Kepler – Minnesota (at LA Angels)
When stacking the Twins, you certainly have plenty of options to choose from. Kepler sometimes gets lost in the shuffle, but he’s a noteworthy play who should not be forgotten in this expanded slate. Kepler has racked up six hits, one homer, four RBIs, and four runs over his past four games. He has excellent lineup security while stepping into a favorable matchup against LAA RHP Trevor Cahill – who holds a .342 wOBA split to left-handed bats.
Jay Bruce – Seattle (at Texas)
Take everything I said in Crawford’s write-up and directly apply it to Jay Bruce. Texas RHP Lance Lynn has been generous to lefties while struggling at home. Combine that with a nice shift to Globe Life Park, and Bruce is looking at some capable upside. Most people shy away from the boom-or-bust nature of the Seattle outfielder, but this is a great spot for the veteran to launch one over the fences.