U.S. Markets closed
  • S&P 500

    4,544.90
    -4.88 (-0.11%)
     
  • Dow 30

    35,677.02
    +73.94 (+0.21%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    15,090.20
    -125.50 (-0.82%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    2,291.27
    -4.91 (-0.21%)
     
  • Gold

    1,793.10
    +11.20 (+0.63%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1648
    +0.0018 (+0.1514%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.6550
    -0.0210 (-1.25%)
     
  • Vix

    15.43
    +0.42 (+2.80%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3759
    -0.0036 (-0.2628%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    113.4600
    -0.5280 (-0.4632%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    60,549.18
    -2,115.20 (-3.38%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,453.34
    -49.70 (-3.31%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,204.55
    +14.25 (+0.20%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    28,804.85
    +96.25 (+0.34%)
     

How Much Have Hess Midstream (NYSE:HESM) Shareholders Earned On Their Investment Over The Last Three Years?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·4 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Hess Midstream LP (NYSE:HESM) shareholders, since the share price is down 16% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 49%.

See our latest analysis for Hess Midstream

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Hess Midstream actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 2.1% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. We like that Hess Midstream has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling Hess Midstream stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Hess Midstream the TSR over the last 3 years was 4.6%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Over the last year Hess Midstream shareholders have received a TSR of 2.7%. It's always nice to make money but this return falls short of the market return which was about 25% for the year. On the bright side that gain is actually better than the average return of 1.5% over the last three years, implying that the company is doing better recently. If the business can justify the share price gain with improving fundamental data, then there could be more gains to come. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Hess Midstream (including 1 which is is a bit unpleasant) .

Hess Midstream is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.