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NBA DFS Bargains Tuesday 3/26

Renee Miller
Notable Numbers discusses players that may be floating around your league’s waiver wire, yet are putting up surprisingly solid numbers.

 

NBA DFS Bargains: Tuesday

 

Every NBA DFS lineup needs to draw from the bottom of the player well to balance those stars who spend through the DraftKings or FanDuel salary cap with such ease. Bargain players are ideally those with low salaries, but plenty of upside. Opportunity is often the key to success for our low-cost lineup fillers. 

 

Tuesday’s 10-game slate has something for everyone. Great offenses like Milwaukee, Houston and San Antonio (top four in offensive efficiency) are available, while fantastic defenses like Toronto, Boston, Orlando, Miami, and Milwaukee all rank in the top eight in defensive efficiency this season. Atlanta and New Orleans rank first and fourth, respectively, in pace this season, and their matchup carries a 240-point total. These teams allow the most fantasy points per game in the NBA. It’s a great one to form the cornerstone of your lineups tonight. Washington at the LA Lakers is another fast one with poor defense and fantasy upside; the Wizards rank eighth in overall fantasy points allowed while the Lakers are fifth. 

 

Other opportunities to take advantage of are Minnesota vs. LA Clippers, Toronto vs. Chicago, and Boston at Cleveland. Orlando at Miami is a meaningful game with playoff implications for both teams as they battle for the lower seeds. Both teams rank high in defensive efficiency and low in fantasy points allowed (27th and 24th, respectively), and it carries the lowest point total of the slate (205 points) so it’s not a great one to prioritize for DFS though will be exciting to watch. Toronto and Milwaukee can clinch the first and second seeds with wins tonight.

 

Injuries abound tonight. Kyrie Irving, Gerald Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zach LaVine, Nikola Mirotic, Malcolm Brogdon, Jeff Teague and Otto Porter Jr. are all ruled out. Listed as questionable to some degree or another are Luca Doncic, Jayson Tatum, Nicolas Batum, Eric Gordon, Landry Shamet, Reggie Bullock, Justise Winslow, Taj Gibson, Trevor Ariza, Kris Dunn, and Elfrid Payton. Anthony Davis and LeBron James should play but make sure to check the lineups and status before lock if you plan to roster any of these guys or their backups. 

FanDuel/DraftKings bargains

 

Frank Jackson – PG – New Orleans (FD: $5600, DK: $5100)

 

If Payton is out again, Jackson is sure to be a popular play, though for me, his salary could be lower. However, it’s hard to argue with him averaging 30 fantasy points per game over the last three games, and going for 34 fantasy points vs. Atlanta earlier this month. Ian Clark and Kenrich Williams are also interesting cheap plays assuming you want to stack this fantasy fest of a game tonight. 

 

Troy Brown Jr. – F – Washington (FD: $3500, DK: $4700)

 

Brown hasn’t been overly impressive while Ariza has been out, but at minimum salary on FanDuel, he hasn’t been hurting your lineups either. I’d fade him on DraftKings at this price, but a matchup with the Lakers is a friendly one; they give up the third-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards. 

 

 

Taurean Prince – SF – Atlanta (FD: $4900, DK: $5200)

 

We’d be remiss to ignore the other side of the court in this headlining game and I think Prince is a top opportunity to save while targeting Atlanta players. He gets the league’s best SF matchup from the Pelicans tonight, and is on a fantasy trajectory pointing straight up. That is, he’s been improving steadily night after night lately and I’d put his ceiling tonight at 40 fantasy points or higher. Of course, we’re happy with 25-35. Prince is another steal on FD tonight. 

 

Dario Saric – PF – Minnesota (FD: $4100, DK: $4800)

 

Saric, too, is a better bargain on FanDuel, but I don’t mind him on DraftKings. Playing around 28 MPG over the last three games, he’s scored double-digit points in each to go along with about six rebounds and two assists. What makes him stand out tonight is the matchup. Against the Clippers earlier this season he put up 37 fantasy points, and LA ranks sixth in overall fantasy points allowed. 

 

Danny Green – SG – Toronto (FD: $4500, DK: $4700)

 

Green isn’t a player I like to use or recommend often, but I do like him tonight. With a lot of obvious value on the slate, he might go under-owned relative to his potential. He does get to matchup with Chicago, the league’s eighth-best fantasy matchup for SGs and a team he’s performed well against this season (average of 27 fantasy points in two meetings). 

 

Dwayne Bacon – SG – Charlotte (FD: $3900, DK: $4000)

 

Though Bacon has played well in Batum’s absence the past two games (about 25 fantasy points in each), his value does depend on Batum being ruled out again tonight (appearing likely). The Spurs aren’t a team to go after too hard, but Bacon’s ability to put up 6-7X value for the price is too good to overlook. 

 

Pat Connaughton – G/F – Milwaukee (FD: $4800, DK: $4500)

 

Connaughton has become a regular value play over the last week or so as he has been playing 25-34 MPG and filling the stat sheet accordingly. In addition to the potential for double-digit scoring and rebounding, Connaughton has been good for a few assists per game and a couple steals here and there. Houston represents a pace downgrade for the Bucks, but Vegas still has this as a close and high scoring matchup. If his salary is what fits in your lineup tonight, I’d roster Connaughton with confidence. 

 

Josh Okogie – SG/SF – Minnesota (FD: $5100, DK: $4500)

 

Okogie has settled in to a nice rhythm with heavy minutes (30 MPG) and it looks like injuries will allow that to continue tonight. The Timberwolves have nothing to lose letting their young players play and the matchup couldn’t be much better tonight as the Clippers offer a pace bump and give up the sixth-most fantasy points to opponents. The game is expected to stay close and high scoring per the Vegas lines. 

 

Gordon Hayward – SF – Boston (FD: $5400, DK: $4800)

 

Hayward worked back from a concussion to nearly 30 fantasy points vs. the Spurs on Sunday, and tonight gets to work into playoff condition vs. the Cavaliers, who rank 30th in defensive efficiency and give up the ninth-most fantasy points to SFs. Hayward would benefit from the absence of Tatum tonight, but is usable as a high floor lineup-filler even if Tatum plays as he says he will.