Welcome to the NBA GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned popular picks contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NBA News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:00 ET.
Most people will be flocking to Tyus Jones as a cheap point guard, but don’t forget about Gilgeous-Alexander. The Clippers rookie is looking good with a 38 fantasy point and 32-minute average over his past two. Seeing 35 minutes in Sunday’s game against the Nets is very encouraging moving forward. The matchup doesn’t look great against Indiana, but “SGA” remains underpriced while noticing a growing role.
D’Angelo Russell – Brooklyn (at Sacramento)
The shooting guard position is pretty stacked tonight, as DFS enthusiasts will try to roster James Harden, Jimmy Butler, Lou Williams, or Khris Middleton (especially if Antetokounmpo is out). That leaves Russell with potential for a lower-than-deserved ownership rate. The Brooklyn star has taken a step back with Spencer Dinwiddie returning to the lineup, but his salary has relaxed as a result. Russell is coming off a brilliant 53 FP outing at the Clippers on Sunday, and now he’ll see a fast-paced Sacramento team that ranks 25th in defensive efficiency to shooting guards.
DeMarre Carroll – Brooklyn (at Sacramento)
Carroll’s playing time has been all over the place, so he’s more of a “risk/reward GPP dart throw” than anything else. Still, he’s cheap with a salary resting marginally over the minimum. Carroll could realistically see anywhere from 15 to 35 minutes, but Allen Crabbe’s absence should help push that to the higher half of that range. Over his past eight games, Carroll has seen 22 or more minutes four times. He holds a strong 30 FPPG average in those contests. The other four outings translate to an average of 18 minutes and 13 fantasy points. That accurately describes the floor/ceiling combination of Carroll. At least the matchup is good while playing up in pace against the Kings.
Marvin Bagley III – Sacramento (vs Brooklyn)
Bagley is still on a minutes-restriction around 20, which will likely dampen his ownership percentage. However, the rookie is starting to get back in the swing of things with 37 fantasy points through 21 minutes Sunday vs Chicago. If you recall, Bagley was posting some monster stat-lines before succumbing to a knee injury in late February. It appears he’s getting back to those ways. I wouldn’t be surprised if he starts seeing a little more playing time, especially if Sunday’s game was any indication of how he’s feeling. Look for any news on that front this afternoon, but consider Bagley a risk/reward tournament option regardless.
Willie Cauley-Stein – Sacramento (vs Brooklyn)
I’m expecting either Bagley or Cauley-Stein to come away with a big performance tonight. Brooklyn ranks in the bottom ten for defensive efficiency to opposing big men. They also rank 26th in rebound rate on the season. Cauley-Stein has been very mediocre lately, but he usually takes advantage of favorable matchups. He posted 42 FP against the Clippers and 40 FP vs Phoenix over the last month – two of the worst teams against opposing bigs.
Wesley Matthews – Indiana (at LA Clippers)
Matthews will not push you to the top of the leaderboard himself, but he represents serviceable value to find upside in another lineup spot. At only $4300 on FanDuel, I’m not afraid to utilize Matthews as a bargain filler – especially while trying to roster James Harden, Kevin Durant, or Kemba Walker. The Indiana guard is locked into a full 36-minute role while averaging a respectable 25 FPPG over his past three. I’d be satisfied with that type of outing tonight, something that is fully attainable against a generous Clippers’ defense.