Needham Expresses Bullishness On US Ride-Share Industry; Uber Remains On Conviction List

In this article:
  • Needham analyst Bernie Mcternan forecasted a 24% 3-year CAGR for U.S. ride-share bookings through 2025, down from the 45% CAGR in the three years heading into the pandemic.

  • Company data, industry reports, and a proprietary survey of 500+ U.S. consumers supported the forecast.

  • He had a more bullish view of the U.S. ride-share industry, causing him to increase the estimates for Lyft, Inc (NASDAQ: LYFT) and conviction in Uber Technologies, Inc (NYSE: UBER) reaching its 2024E bookings guidance.

  • Also Read: Uber Resumes Ridesharing In Some Cities, Makes It More Attractive

  • UBER remains his choice for Needham's Conviction List as he liked its balance of growth and profitability. He had a Buy on Uber with a price target of $50.

  • He remained Hold-rated on LYFT due to concerns over necessary investment levels for driver supply.

  • The survey indicated price sensitivity and low frequency, leading to a high churn risk.

  • He noted that the power users were modestly less price-sensitive than lower frequency users.

  • Price Action: UBER shares traded higher by 0.16% at $21.80 on the last check Wednesday.

  • Photo via Wikimedia Commons

Latest Ratings for UBER

Date

Firm

Action

From

To

Mar 2022

Loop Capital

Maintains

Buy

Mar 2022

Deutsche Bank

Initiates Coverage On

Buy

Feb 2022

Wedbush

Maintains

Outperform

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