Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. (NASDAQ:ASPS), which is in the real estate business, and is based in Luxembourg, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to $26.6 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $22.65. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Altisource Portfolio Solutions's current trading price of $23.64 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Altisource Portfolio Solutions’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's the opportunity in Altisource Portfolio Solutions?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 48.7%, trading at US$23.64 compared to my intrinsic value of $15.9. This means that the opportunity to buy Altisource Portfolio Solutions at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Altisource Portfolio Solutions’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Altisource Portfolio Solutions generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Altisource Portfolio Solutions, it is expected to deliver a negative revenue growth of -16% next year, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? If you believe ASPS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ASPS for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Altisource Portfolio Solutions. You can find everything you need to know about Altisource Portfolio Solutions in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Altisource Portfolio Solutions, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.