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Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:MSBI)?

Simply Wall St

Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:MSBI), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, saw its share price hover around a small range of US$25.24 to US$27.49 over the last few weeks. But is this actually reflective of the share value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Midland States Bancorp’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Midland States Bancorp

What is Midland States Bancorp worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 11.6x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 12.46x, which means if you buy Midland States Bancorp today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Midland States Bancorp should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Midland States Bancorp’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Midland States Bancorp look like?

NasdaqGS:MSBI Past and Future Earnings, October 25th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 19% in the upcoming year, the short-term outlook is positive for Midland States Bancorp. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in MSBI’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at MSBI? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MSBI, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MSBI, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Midland States Bancorp. You can find everything you need to know about Midland States Bancorp in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Midland States Bancorp, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.