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Is A O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) Undervalued?

Today we’re going to take a look at the well-established A O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS). The company’s stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to $67.84 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $60.24. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether A. O. Smith’s current trading price of $65.5 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at A. O. Smith’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. See our latest analysis for A. O. Smith

What is A. O. Smith worth?

A. O. Smith appears to be overvalued by 88% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$65.50 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $34.83. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that A. O. Smith’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of A. O. Smith look like?

NYSE:AOS Future Profit Apr 18th 18
NYSE:AOS Future Profit Apr 18th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. A. O. Smith’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 65.51%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? AOS’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe AOS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AOS for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for AOS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on A. O. Smith. You can find everything you need to know about A. O. Smith in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in A. O. Smith, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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