Condor Hospitality Trust, Inc. is a US$115m small-cap, real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Bethesda, United States. REITs are basically a portfolio of income-producing real estate investments, which are owned and operated by management of that trust company. They have to meet certain requirements in order to become a REIT, meaning they should be analyzed a different way. In this commentary, I'll take you through some of the things I look at when assessing CDOR.
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REIT investors should be familiar with the term Fund from Operations (FFO) – a REIT’s main source of cash flow from its day-to-day business activities. FFO is a higher quality measure of earnings because it takes out the impact of non-recurring sales and non-cash items such as depreciation. These items can distort the bottom line and not necessarily reflective of CDOR’s daily operations. For CDOR, its FFO of US$11m makes up 45% of its gross profit, which means over a third of its earnings are high-quality and recurring.
In order to understand whether CDOR has a healthy balance sheet, we have to look at a metric called FFO-to-total debt. This tells us how long it will take CDOR to pay off its debt using its income from its main business activities, and gives us an insight into CDOR’s ability to service its borrowings. With a ratio of 7.8%, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor would consider this as aggressive risk. This would take CDOR 12.83 years to pay off using just operating income, which is a long time, and risk increases with time. But realistically, companies have many levers to pull in order to pay back their debt, beyond operating income alone.
Next, interest coverage ratio shows how many times CDOR’s earnings can cover its annual interest payments. Usually the ratio is calculated using EBIT, but for REITs, it’s better to use FFO divided by net interest. This is similar to the above concept, but looks at the nearer-term obligations. With an interest coverage ratio of 1.28x, CDOR is not generating an appropriate amount of cash from its borrowings. Typically, a ratio of greater than 3x is seen as safe.
I also use FFO to look at CDOR's valuation relative to other REITs in United States by using the price-to-FFO metric. This is conceptually the same as the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, but as previously mentioned, FFO is more suitable. In CDOR’s case its P/FFO is 10.9x, compared to the long-term industry average of 16.5x, meaning that it is undervalued.
Condor Hospitality Trust can bring diversification into your portfolio due to its unique REIT characteristics. Before you make a decision on the stock today, keep in mind I've only covered one metric in this article, the FFO, which is by no means comprehensive. I'd strongly recommend continuing your research on the following areas I believe are key fundamentals for CDOR:
Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CDOR’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CDOR’s outlook.
Valuation: What is CDOR worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CDOR is currently mispriced by the market.
Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
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