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Owens Corning (NYSE:OC): Cash Is King

Matthew Smith

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If you are currently a shareholder in Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), or considering investing in the stock, you need to examine how the business generates cash, and how it is reinvested. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. Today we will examine OC’s ability to generate cash flows, as well as the level of capital expenditure it is expected to incur over the next couple of years, which will result in how much money goes to you.

View our latest analysis for Owens Corning

Is Owens Corning generating enough cash?

Owens Corning’s free cash flow (FCF) is the level of cash flow the business generates from its operational activities, after it reinvests in the company as capital expenditure. This type of expense is needed for Owens Corning to continue to grow, or at least, maintain its current operations.

The two ways to assess whether Owens Corning’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, Owens Corning also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 2.13% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because Owens Corning’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NYSE:OC Net Worth February 19th 19

Is Owens Corning’s yield sustainable?

Another important consideration is whether this return is likely to be maintained over the next couple of years. We can gauge this by looking at OC’s expected operating cash flows. In the next couple of years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 37%, ramping up from its current levels of US$828m to US$1.1b in two years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, OC’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 29% next year, to 6.2% in the following year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

The company’s low yield relative to the market index means you are taking on more risk holding the single-stock Owens Corning as opposed to the diversified market portfolio, and being compensated for less. Though the high operating cash flow growth in the future could change this. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. You should continue to research Owens Corning to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is OC worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether OC is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Owens Corning’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. On rare occasion, data errors may occur. Thank you for reading.