Patrick Industries (PATK) Hits 52-Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Shares of Patrick Industries (PATK) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 10.6% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $87.21 in the previous session. Patrick Industries has gained 26.3% since the start of the year compared to the 9.1% move for the Zacks Construction sector and the 35.3% return for the Zacks Building Products - Mobile Homes and RV Builders industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on February 11, 2021, Patrick Industries reported EPS of $1.64 versus consensus estimate of $1.49 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 9.55%.
For the current fiscal year, Patrick Industries is expected to post earnings of $6.16 per share on $3.05 billion in revenues. This represents a 46.67% change in EPS on a 22.58% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $6.79 per share on $3.18 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 10.23% and 4.31%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
Patrick Industries may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Patrick Industries has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 14X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 11.4X versus its peer group's average of 19.5X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.48. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Patrick Industries currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Patrick Industries meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Patrick Industries shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.
How Does Patrick Industries Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Patrick Industries have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also impressive, including Skyline (SKY), Winnebago Industries (WGO), and Thor Industries (THO), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 3% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Patrick Industries, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.
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