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Places in Each State That Are Still Recovering From the 2000s

Karen Doyle

Across the United States, most communities have recovered from the 2008 recession, which was precipitated by a housing crisis that swept the country. It began in 2006, when favorable interest rates and relaxed lending standards drove up prices. Buyers, some of whom were not well qualified, flooded the market. In 2008, mortgage lenders and investment banks began failing, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac entered government conservatorship. By June 2009, the unemployment rate was the highest it had been since 1982, according to CoreLogic.

Housing values across the nation have now recovered, but some areas are still struggling. GOBankingRates looked at the decline in home values since 2007, just prior to the crash, compared with the recovery that has taken place since 2012. Here are the places in each state that are still trying to pull out of the economic crisis of 2008.

Alabama: Montgomery

In all, the state of Alabama has 44 cities that have suffered an absolute decline in home values during the period from January 2007 to January 2019. The seven cities that make up the Montgomery metro area averaged a decline of 12.89%. By contrast, in Mobile, Alabama, home prices were up 21% in 2018 over the prior year, according to Attom Data.

Alaska

None of the cities or towns in Alaska experienced an absolute decline in home values from 2007 to 2019. In Fairbanks and Anchorage, housing prices have increased by 10.35% and 12.80%, respectively, since 2007.

Arizona: Sierra Vista-Douglas

Arizona was hit particularly hard by the housing crisis, but the Sierra Vista-Douglas metro area is still reeling, even as many other areas in the state have fully recovered. Homes in this area have lost an average of 15.36% of their value since 2007. The Lake Havasu City-Kingman area, by comparison, lost a combined 23% since 2007 but has rebounded to post a gain of 70.1% since 2012.

Arkansas: West Memphis

Just five cities in Arkansas posted home value declines from 2007 to 2019, and only one has failed to recover. Homes in West Memphis in Crittenden County have lost a combined 10% of their average value since 2007, but have eked out a modest 2.2% gain since 2012.

California: Fresno County

Fresno County in California saw a combined decline in average home prices of 16.68% since 2007. However, since 2012, average values have climbed 60.65%. This degree of rebound would be impressive in any other state, but in California, it’s dwarfed by gains of 155.3% in Lake County and 125.78% in Contra Costa County, just to name a few.

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Colorado: Snowmass Village

Colorado was spared much of the impact of the housing crisis and has just three cities with an outright decline in home values since 2007. But resort and vacation markets were hit harder than primary residence markets. Snowmass Village, with its numerous vacation homes, declined 11.4% since 2007 and has rebounded just 21.2% since 2012.

Connecticut: Hartford

A wealthy state, Connecticut was hit hard by the housing crisis, with only two cities seeing an increase in home values since 2007. The Hartford metro area included 29 cities that had outright declines in home prices since 2007, with a combined total decrease of 15.49%. The area has rebounded since 2012, but prices have only risen by 5.18%.

Delaware: Sussex County

Sussex County in Delaware includes five cities with outright declines in their housing prices since 2007. The average price across the county declined a combined 12.64% but has rebounded 26.9% since 2012. The entire state was impacted by the housing crisis, with just one city that didn’t see an outright decline in prices.

Florida: Palatka

Florida was one of the hardest-hit states during the housing crisis, with every area seeing declines — many in the double digits — since 2007. But most of the state has rebounded nicely, including the populous Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro area, which enjoyed a combined increase in home values of 113.74% since 2012. Values in the city of Palatka, however, dropped a combined 23.14% since 2007 and rebounded just 35.78% since 2012.

Georgia: Chatham County

Chatham County, which includes Savannah, is still feeling the impact of the housing crisis. This area has seen home values decline a combined 7.78% since 2007. But since 2012, values have rebounded 34.58%. Atlanta fared much better, as Fulton County — which most of the city is located in — has rebounded 99.25% since 2012.

Hawaii: Hilo

Even the idyllic state of Hawaii was impacted by the housing crisis, and Hilo got the brunt of it. The combined decline in home values from 2007 to 2019 was 6.3%, although values have rebounded a combined average of 65.81% since 2012. Kappa was similarly impacted but to a slightly lesser degree, dropping 6.08% since 2007 and rebounding 55.67% since 2012.

Idaho: Hailey

Like most of the northern Mountain States, Idaho was relatively unaffected by the housing crisis. In Hailey, however, the combined loss in average home value for the period between 2007 and 2019 was 9.43%. The area rebounded to post a 38% increase in home values from 2012 to 2019.

Illinois: Cook County

Cook County — which comprises more than 100 municipalities, including Chicago — saw a decline in home values of 22.49% from 2007 to 2019. The area rebounded but somewhat feebly, showing an increase of 34.07% from 2102 to 2019. The entire state of Illinois felt the effects of the crash, with a total of 361 cities that experienced absolute declines in home values from 2007 to 2019.

Indiana: Vermillion County

Vermillion County, which includes Terre Haute, experienced the largest decline in home values in the state from 2007 to 2019, at 24.73%. Values increased 31.47% from 2012 to 2019, but that wasn’t enough to offset its decline, making it the most affected area in the state.

Iowa: Harrison County

Like several other states in the region, Iowa emerged relatively unscathed from the housing crash. Just two cities in the state recorded absolute declines in home values during the period from 2007 to 2012, and both of them are located in Harrison County. The county saw a combined decrease of 14% in home values from 2007 to 2019, and a rebound of 23.35% from 2012 to 2019.

Kansas: Harper County

Harper was the only county in Kansas that had more than one city experience an outright decline in home values from 2007 to 2019, with the county posting a decline of 23.98%. Values rebounded, showing a 47.94% increase from 2012 to 2019, but other Kansas counties fared much better. For example, Reno County showed an increase of 142.21% from 2012 to 2019.

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Kentucky: Boyd County

The entire state of Kentucky had just four cities that saw home values decline in the period between 2007 and 2019, and two of them were in Boyd County. The county comprises former industrial towns, which were already in decline before the crash and were disproportionately affected. Of the four cities, however, Earlington in Hopkins County saw the sharpest decline at 7.4% and had the weakest rebound at 1.6%.

Louisiana: Bogalusa

Bogalusa in Washington Parish is one of several cities in Louisiana that experienced a decline in home values since 2007, according to Zillow. Washington Parish as a whole had an 11.3% decline in home values from 2007 to 2019, and is the only parish in the state that also saw a decline — of 4.7% — in home values from 2012 to 2019.

Maine: Cumberland County

Cumberland County contains Harrison and Bridgton, two cities that combined for a decline of 6.15% in home values from 2007 to 2019. The county has rebounded since 2012, though, having enjoyed an increase in values of 20.65% over that time period.

Maryland: Somerset County

In Maryland, 218 cities had declines in their home values from 2007 to 2019. Of those, Somerset County fared the worst. The county had a 24.55% decline in home values from 2007 to 2019, the largest decline in the state. Since 2012, values have rebounded by 13.75%, but that’s significantly less than in other areas, such as Prince Georges County at 70.6% and Baltimore at 58.3%.

Massachusetts: Pittsfield

The greater Pittsfield area in western Massachusetts, like many of the more remote areas in the state, was hardest hit by the housing crash. After a combined decline of 6.21% from 2007 to 2019, the area rebounded by just 14.76% from 2012 to 2019, the smallest increase in the state. Housing values in the Boston-Cambridge-Newton metropolitan area, by contrast, have increased 43.3% since 2012.

Michigan: Tuscola County

Tuscola County in Michigan was struggling even before the housing crash, with home prices on the decline since 2001. During the period from 2007 to 2019, the county’s combined home values lost a modest 8.9%, but if you look at the nearly two decades from 2001 to 2019, the decrease was 21.01%. The increase in home values between 2012 and 2019 was just 22.77%, far less than the 135.45% in Macomb County and the 87.1% in Monroe County.

Minnesota: Kanabec County

Kanabec County had the largest decline in the state at 8.5%. Its recovery has been meager, with values rising just 27.6% since 2012, compared with a 41.44% rebound in Hennepin County, which includes Minneapolis.

Mississippi: Jackson

The Jackson metropolitan area includes two cities that saw declines in home values from 2007 to 2019. The 17% combined decrease is less than the 26.2% decrease in the Meridian metropolitan area, but values in Jackson have only recovered to record a 2% decrease since 2012. Values in Meridian increased by 12.8% during that time.

Missouri: St. Louis

In the St. Louis metropolitan area, 20 cities saw an absolute decline in average home values during the period from 2007 to 2019, compared with just four cities in the rest of the state. The combined decline for the St. Louis area was 22.46%, and the recovery was tepid at best: Home values have risen just 15.02% since 2012, compared with 41.9% in Farmington and 23.25% in Kansas City.

Montana

The Great Recession seems to have bypassed Montana to a certain degree, as there are no cities in the state that experienced an absolute decline in their home values during the period from 2007 to 2019. Montana’s sparse population and its location in the northern Rocky Mountain states — an area that was less affected than other parts of the country — likely contributed to this.

Nebraska

Another northern Rocky Mountain state, Nebraska managed to avoid some of the large losses in property values that were seen in other states. In the greater Omaha area, for example, home values actually rose 22.1% from 2007 to 2019, and have risen 32% since 2012.

Nevada: Las Vegas

Nevada was one of the hardest-hit states in the 2008 housing crisis, and the Las Vegas area, in particular, was a sort of poster child for the recession. In the greater Las Vegas metro area, which includes Henderson and Paradise, home values were down 13.11% from 2007 to 2019. Values have increased an incredible 99.39% since 2012.

New Hampshire: Grafton County

In tiny New Hampshire, 57 cities had absolute declines in their home values during the U.S. recession of 2008. The effects of both the recession and the recession recovery have been felt evenly throughout the state. Every county showed a decline between 1.35% and 7.13% from 2007 to 2019, as well as an increase between 14.40% and 46.5% from 2012 to 2019. Grafton County fared the worst, with a 4.83% decline from 2007 to 2019 and a modest 14.3% recovery since 2012. This area is home to many ski resorts and vacation areas, which have struggled to bounce back.

New Jersey: Atlantic County

Atlantic County, which includes Atlantic City, recorded the state’s largest decline in home values from 2007 to 2019 at 23.98%, as well as its smallest gain in values since 2012 at 47.94%. This area’s dependence on tourism and vacation properties contributes to its struggles to emerge from the housing crisis.

New Mexico: Farmington

Unlike nearby Arizona, Nevada and California, New Mexico managed to escape the U.S. recession relatively unscathed. Of the five cities that recorded absolute declines in housing valuations from 2007 to 2019, two — Bloomfield and Kirtland — are in the Farmington metro area. This area saw a decrease of 11% in housing values from 2007 to 2019, with a recovery of just 13.15% from 2012 to 2019.

New York: Orange County

In Orange County, just north of New York City, 32 cities reported absolute declines in their home values from 2007 to 2019. The combined drop of 17.92% was not the highest in the state — that honor goes to Sullivan County at 20.56%. But Orange County has seen an anemic recovery, with values increasing just 13.3% since 2012. The entire state has struggled to take part in the upswing from the Great Recession, as the highest increase in values since 2012 is a moderate 31.58% in relatively affluent Nassau County.

See: The Best and Worst States for First-Time Homebuyers

North Carolina: Rockingham County

Rockingham County recorded a 16.5% decline in housing values since 2007. But the area also reported a 3.83% decline in values since 2012, making it one of the few areas to have seen no recession recovery at all.

North Dakota

Like several of the states in the northern Rocky Mountain region, North Dakota escaped the worst of the housing crisis. None of the areas in the state recorded an absolute decline in home values during the period from 2007 to 2019.

Ohio: Cuyahoga County

Ohio in general and Cuyahoga County, in particular, were devastated by the housing crisis. These areas were already in decline from deindustrialization. Maple Heights, for example, which is in Cuyahoga County, saw a housing boom in the early 1960s that resulted in nearly all of its available land getting developed for single-family homes. When the housing bubble burst, home values in the bedroom community declined 44.7% from 2007 to 2019.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma is the only state in the South that avoided the effects of the housing crisis. The Sooner State had no cities that recorded an absolute decline in housing values from 2007 to 2019. Surrounding states, such as Texas, Colorado, Kansas and Arkansas, also fared relatively well, but Oklahoma was a standout in this region.

Oregon: Tillamook County

Tillamook County had three cities that recorded absolute declines in home values from 2007 to 2019, combining for a 6.2% decrease. Although Lane County had a much larger decline at 17.7%, the recovery in Tillamook was less robust, with values gaining 30.73% versus Lane County’s 43.4% since 2012.

Pennsylvania: Monroe County

Monroe County had the second-worst average decline in values in the state of Pennsylvania, which was hit particularly hard by the recession. The county includes 22 cities with absolute declines and a combined loss of 21.3%.

Rhode Island: Providence County

The smallest state struggled mightily to recover from the Great Recession, which saw 18 cities in Providence County lose home value from 2007 to 2019 for a combined loss of 6.3%. Since 2012, values have rebounded 46.64%, which is the strongest pace in the state.

South Carolina: Myrtle Beach

As with many areas that are primarily vacation destinations, the Myrtle Beach metropolitan area saw home values in 11 cities drop a combined 15.79% from 2007 to 2019. The 27.78% recovery since 2012 has been less robust than the rebound in Charleston, which had an impressive 47.94% regain.

South Dakota

This northern Rocky Mountain state fared well, along with its neighbors. No cities in South Dakota recorded an absolute drop in housing values from 2007 to 2019.

Tennessee: Trenton

Tennessee has rebounded relatively well from the housing crash, but Trenton has not. The state as a whole had just 10 cities that experienced declines in home values from 2007 to 2019. Trenton, in Gibson County, fared the second worst of these cities at 11.5%, but the city is still in decline — by 0.8% since 2012.

Texas: Ranger

Texas might be the state that fared the best through the housing crisis, considering its size and population. Only three cities experienced a decline in housing values from 2007 to 2019, with the worst decline being just 3.6%. Ranger, in Eastland County, has been losing population for some time and has seen home values decline since at least 2002.

Read More: The Next Housing Bubble Could Be in These States

Utah

Another northern Rocky Mountain state that was unscathed by the housing crisis, Utah had no cities that reported a decline in home values for the period from 2007 to 2019. This is particularly impressive, however, because Utah is home to several ski resort communities, which were hit hard in other states.

Vermont: Rutland County

Tiny Vermont saw 24 cities record declines in housing prices from the start of the recession in 2007. Rutland County had eight of those cities, with a combined average decrease of 7.3%. The county had a meager 8.84% rebound in values since 2012.

Virginia: Halifax County

Virginia, with its mix of urban and rural areas, was hit hard by the recession, with more than 180 cities experiencing declines in housing values since 2007. Halifax County includes five of those cities, and the county’s average combined decline was 20.82%, which was the largest in the state. Since 2012, the county’s home values have rebounded a meager 3.42%.

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Washington: La Conner

Washington state weathered the recession fairly well, with just three cities recording an absolute decline in housing values since 2007. In La Conner, however, the impact of the crash was felt more harshly; this waterfront community north of Seattle relies heavily on tourism and includes many vacation homes, which were affected more severely. La Conner home values have decreased by 12% since 2007 but rebounded 37.3% since 2012.

West Virginia: Berkeley County

Berkeley County in West Virginia saw housing values decline by a combined 10.84% from 2007 to 2019 — the largest decrease in the state. The county has also rebounded the most, however, with an increase in values of 31.46% since 2012.

Wisconsin: Burnett County

Since 2007, 30 cities in Wisconsin have seen declining home values, with the largest decrease of 13.13% in Burnett County. The rebound there has been weak, with prices up just 8.98% since 2012. This recovery is dwarfed by the increases in other areas, like the 25.85% increase in Walworth County and the 34% increase in Kenosha County.

Wyoming

Homeowners in Wyoming barely felt the effects of the recession — at least as far as their home values were concerned. There were no cities in the state that recorded absolute declines in the housing prices, and values in some counties actually increased at least 9.5% from 2007 to 2019.

Click through to see the most and least recession-proof states.

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Methodology: GOBankingRates determined which places are still recovering from the 2000s by analyzing Zillow home value data from January 2019 for 12,885 cities across the U.S., comparing the change over time in median home values between 2000 and 2019, 2001 and 2019, 2002 and 2019, 2007 and 2019, and 2012 and 2019. “Places” in this study refers to either a specific city, metro area or county, depending on the conditions in each state. For instance, in a state such as New York, using counties is preferable to metro areas since the New York metro area is so large that it includes cities outside New York state and across several counties; in other states, the number of cities that experienced an outright decline in home values is so few that research could only pinpoint one specific city as the place that is still recovering from the 2000s. Places were scored primarily based on the decline in home values from January 2007 to January 2019 (the former date being right before the housing bubble crashed) and the change in home values from January 2012 to January 2019 (2012 being when home prices finally bottomed out); in addition, each metro area or county was scored on the number of cities it contains that suffered from the worst absolute decline and the weakest recovery. All home value data was sourced from Zillow’s January 2019 index. All information in this article is accurate at the time the study was conducted in March 2019. 

This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: Places in Each State That Are Still Recovering From the 2000s