Have you been paying attention to shares of Polaris Industries (PII)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 22.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $104.25 in the previous session. Polaris Industries has gained 34.8% since the start of the year compared to the 18.2% move for the Zacks Auto-Tires-Trucks sector and the 17.4% return for the Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 22, 2019, Polaris Inc reported EPS of $1.68 versus consensus estimate of $1.57 while it missed the consensus revenue estimate by 0.63%.
For the current fiscal year, Polaris Inc is expected to post earnings of $6.26 per share on $6.82 billion in revenues. This represents a -4.57% change in EPS on a 12.28% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $6.78 per share on $7.1 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 8.22% and 4.06%, respectively.
Polaris Inc may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Polaris Inc has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 16.5X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 10.1X versus its peer group's average of 8.6X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.38. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Polaris Inc currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Polaris Inc passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Polaris Inc shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
Polaris Industries Inc. (PII) : Free Stock Analysis Report
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
Zacks Investment Research